OK, give me your 2, 3 or 4 securities (stocks, CEFs, ETFs) that long term you think would do best

[ph1l]

Pick some from
http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/

Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum
2 80 20 0 -20.35 7.41 11.47 11.15

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum
2 60 40 0 -19.26 5.50 8.85 9.67

Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett 2 90 10 0 -15.46 9.39 11.52 9.34

Stocks/Bonds 80/20
2 80 20 0 -16.53 7.86 10.17 8.97

Simple Path to Wealth
JL Collins 2 75 25 0 -16.46 7.37 9.60 8.74

Couch Potato
Scott Burns 2 50 50 0 -14.60 5.95 6.80 8.06

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
2 40 60 0 -18.10 3.54 6.17 8.04

Stocks/Bonds 60/40
2 60 40 0 -16.24 5.86 7.87 8.00

Stocks/Bonds 40/60
2 40 60 0 -15.98 3.81 5.53 6.90

Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum
2 20 80 0 -16.89 1.54 3.44 6.25

Developed World ex-US 60/40
2 60 40 0 -19.01 0.33 3.62 5.69

Stocks/Bonds 20/80
2 20 80 0 -15.76 1.69 3.12 5.67

Developed World ex-US 40/60
2 40 60 0 -16.74 0.29 3.03 5.66

Developed World ex-US 80/20
2 80 20 0 -21.26 0.30 4.13 5.56

Developed World ex-US 20/80
2 20 80 0 -14.45 0.16 2.36 5.49

Sheltered Sam 0/100
Bill Bernstein 2 0 100 0 -7.87 1.01 0.63 4.09

Robo Advisor 0
Betterment 2 0 100 0 -5.33 0.42 0.51 3.21

Talmud Portfolio
Roger Gibson 3 66.7 33.3 0 -17.56 4.81 6.89 8.27

Second Grader's Starter
Paul Farrell 3 90 10 0 -18.92 5.81 8.69 8.16

Three Funds
Bogleheads 3 80 20 0 -18.78 4.83 7.56 7.72

Margaritaville
Scott Burns 3 67 33 0 -17.85 3.95 5.87 7.36

Simplified Permanent Portfolio
3 25 50 25 -14.62 3.44 3.38 6.80

Desert Portfolio
Gyroscopic Investing 3 30 60 10 -12.49 3.54 4.18 6.56

Andrew Tobias Portfolio
Andrew Tobias 3 66.7 33.3 0 -14.88 3.65 5.90 6.48

All Country World Bonds
3 0 100 0 -15.78 -0.70 0.96 5.43

Aggressive Global Income
4 80 20 0 -9.10 3.10 6.08 9.04

Core Four
Rick Ferri 4 80 20 0 -18.61 5.04 7.69 8.00

Four Funds
Bogleheads 4 80 20 0 -18.48 5.05 7.58 7.84

LifeStrategy Growth Fund
Vanguard 4 80 20 0 -18.73 4.67 7.45 7.68

No Brainer Portfolio
Bill Bernstein 4 75 25 0 -14.36 4.62 7.34 7.65

LifeStrategy Moderate Growth
Vanguard 4 60 40 0 -17.66 3.51 5.91 7.10

Four Square
Scott Burns 4 50 50 0 -16.41 3.02 4.83 6.92

High Yield Bonds Income
4 0 100 0 -20.06 -0.64 1.85 6.71

All Country World 80/20
4 80 20 0 -19.05 4.22 6.90 6.51

All Country World 60/40
4 60 40 0 -18.21 3.07 5.50 6.44

LifeStrategy Conservative Growth
Vanguard 4 40 60 0 -16.61 2.28 4.31 6.39

Permanent Portfolio
Harry Browne 4 25 50 25 -14.61 3.55 3.47 6.38

Larry Portfolio
Larry Swedroe 4 30 70 0 -13.21 0.58 2.67 6.30

All Country World 40/60
4 40 60 0 -17.38 1.88 4.04 6.23

All Country World 20/80
4 20 80 0 -16.57 0.62 2.53 5.89

Eliminate Fat Tails
Larry Swedroe 4 30 70 0 -10.57 1.78 2.58 5.82

LifeStrategy Income Fund
Vanguard 4 20 80 0 -15.57 1.00 2.66 5.55

 

[smallfil]

What? The expert stock picker is asking for stock picks? Soy has been impressing us with his stockmarket predictions. Why is he asking for stock picks?

 

[schizo]

FOMO, MOFO, DEAD, BROK

 

[TrAndy2022]

The ten best stocks of the past 10 years does not mean they will be the 10 best stocks 10 years from now. Like, any Megacap tech thus far.

I know this, that is why I mentioned UPRO and TQQQ therefore in first place. But he wanted to backtest this, as this makes no sense to me, so I mentioned the top performers in the past decade to have a comparison. This was not as forecast for best stocks in the next decade meant in this post.

 

[SunTrader]

AMZN and COST....

dollar average in on the bear market over the next year and see where you are in 2-3 years. These two are stars of the consumer discretionary and staple sectors IMHO. AMAZ struggling at below $100 but in 2-3 years could be double easily.

COST is always crowded...always busy...always selling products...and now gas.

They've (COST) been selling gas in South Florida for as long as they have been down here, which is +20 years. But agree they would be a good choice.

As for AMZN - their profitability hinges on AWS, better yet if for them if they come up with second AWS type service revenue stream. Retail does chit for them.

 

[El OchoCinco]

They've (COST) been selling gas in South Florida for as long as they have been down here, which is +20 years. But agree they would be a good choice.

As for AMZN - their profitability hinges on AWS, better yet if for them if they come up with second AWS type service revenue stream. Retail does chit for them.

Gas is not new but go look at the number of costcos.selling gas now....it is.growing and their gas is often the cheapest around and drives traffic to the stores. Every costco that adds gas has long lines and a large % of those customers end up in the store since you have to be a member. It increases traffic.

If you think retail.does.chit look at their revenues.from books, products and Whole Foods. The stock is trading down after the split and once we get past an economic slowdown...$200 is a relaible target for buy and hold.

 

[SunTrader]

Gas is not new but go look at the number of costcos.selling gas now....it is.growing and their gas is often the cheapest around and drives traffic to the stores. Every costco that adds gas has long lines and a large % of those customers end up in the store since you have to be a member. It increases traffic.

If you think retail.does.chit look at their revenues.from books, products and Whole Foods. The stock is trading down after the split and once we get past an economic slowdown...$200 is a relaible target for buy and hold.

Retail does great for AMZN's revenue, not much for profit.

 

[vanzandt]

Dude, the guy asked for a long-term trade that had a good risk reward ratio compared to drawdowns. The stock survived the COVID crunch, the Ukraine invasion, and the inflation crazy.

If this chart of McD does not show it, then I don't understand stocks, or charts, or anything about low-risk trades in the long term...

View attachment 299857

That's from the pre-covid peak until now. The thing is up 60 points since then! How terrible is that drawdown?!?

Sheesh!

It's on the Dow. The Dow is up 70% from the Covid lows. MCD is up 83.5%
Like I said, over-rated.
No one cares where a stock has been, they care about where it's going.
The dogs of the dow change all the time.
It's MCD's turn.
Write it down... $258 is in the cards for MCD.

 

[iprph90]

Long term is subjective-2023 tricky: JEPI or similar high dividend ETF.
TIP/TLT or short term bond etf.
Sell leap puts on volatility spike on AMZN, QQQ, GOOG, NVDA to own covered with cash.
BBH
Save some powder for Xanax conditions.

 

[murray t turtle]

Pick 2, 3 or 4. I will test long term in Excel using yahoo data. The goal is to find ones that, collectively, give the best overall return to max drawdown ratio. Its got to be something with a stock ticker so I can easily get the data of yahoo finance. I will post results here.

GO!

%%
Hidden treasure stuff like VALE, but have to use a stop loss or know how to take profits.\
NOT exactly bid/ ask stuff/LOL; but same principle.
TQQQ, QQQ,has worked well in the past\ but a major holding like underperformer , as META, seems to have goofed it up for 2022, even though daytraders make get some change, briefly for it.
Always double check any ,especially if its yahoo.
Worst thing is adding to an underperformer ;like EWZ.
Like Larry ''Mint '' Hite said ''would you buy more buggy whips , because price goes down?? No , because IC engines replaces the ''green '' horse