Oil ETF battlefield: UCO vs SCO

KCalhoun

KCalhoun

UCO has had a phenomenal run, but imo may be due for a pullback soon.

SCO has dropped significantly and may be a good pivot entry if it recovers 2day highs soon.

I bought small size SCO Friday, will scale up if it bounces. It's down dramatically.

Not going to swing trade oil stocks or ETFs up here but i like OXY etc for day trading.

Any thoughts?
 
the battle rages on i'm calling SCO capitulation selloff bottom here soon :D

uco5mar.jpg
sco5mar.jpg
 
I see what you're saying being a little over done and not a bad shorter term play and possible even medium term play, but the way the larger charts look, plus we still have a news catalyst I think it's most likely the pullbacks in USO / UCO are going to be very similar to the ones we had on 03/03/2022 Thursday. Deep enough to shake weak longs out and get people excited to short side, but in grand scheme of things in macro view very tiny.

I day trade mostly, so I won't pass up on good long or short setups if I see them intra-day. However, I am still leaning toward CL long bias from a macro stand point. If there's some miracle good outcome in the Russia/Ukraine situation, I wouldn't be as excited. But when technical analysis aligns with a clear catalyst event it's typically very reliable.
 
I'm no oil-baron or oil-sexpert, so I'm going to just sit this one out. What I can tell you is, that markets generally follow the path that brings the most pain.

Good luck!
 
The_Krakenite said:
I'm no oil-baron or oil-sexpert, so I'm going to just sit this one out. What I can tell you is, that markets generally follow the path that brings the most pain.

Good luck!
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Thanks, well said. Kinda like nightclub hotties lol.

One thing I've learned is, extreme extended charts often deliver best setups, like why I've been aggressively trading inverses like SQQQ TZA UVXY etc lately.

It's mostly a daytrader's market with all the volatility, loving it now :D
 
KCalhoun said:
UCO has had a phenomenal run, but imo may be due for a pullback soon.

SCO has dropped significantly and may be a good pivot entry if it recovers 2day highs soon.

I bought small size SCO Friday, will scale up if it bounces. It's down dramatically.

Not going to swing trade oil stocks or ETFs up here but i like OXY etc for day trading.

Any thoughts?
More...


Nice macro call. USO did run up like 9-10% higher after my post, but certainly did not have the staying power at those prices I was expecting. I didn't make much trading CL. Was more difficult to find the longs intra-day than expected and just went back to focusing on NQ. Was splitting my attention too much trying to trade both.
 
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