Oil beginning to threaten SIFs

Here we go. For pros only: L 1372 ES, 2 handle stop loss, 6 handle PT, but flexible based on price action. Trail the stop if SPX goes to 1375 and move absolute SL to B/E. If you want to be conservative, L ES 1370, same other parameters, but then SAR at 1368.

nitro
 
All L trades listed above lose $ (I took L 1370 and SARd 1368, stopped again at 1370, lost 4). :(

Will sell break of 1370 now, with a SL at 1372.50 and a PT of 1364. Will trail the stop once we hit 1366 and move absolute stop to B/E.

Danger Will Robinson, Danger!

nitro
 
Quote from nitro:

...

Will sell break of 1370 now, with a SL at 1372.50 and a PT of 1364. Will trail the stop once we hit 1366 and move absolute stop to B/E.

Danger Will Robinson, Danger!

nitro
More...

Stopped out again for a 2.50 handle loss. Enough.

nitro
 
Too tough. Sometimes you have to know when the action is too tough for your methods.

XLF second gap filled. SPX gap fill of 1342 imminent next week imo. Imo one should buy small shares of financials here in anticipation of SPX gap fill. When the SPX gap fills, buy XLF or your favorite financial hand over fist.

Notice NQ is now holding steady in the facce of ES selloff.

nitro
 
A day for the books. In fact, this may be one of the two most volatile days in history when taken together: + 25 followed by -44. That is a 70 handle swing in two days, and a massive whipsaw (not just in SIFs, as we saw in oil too.)

VIX goes out + 5.08, and probably goes a little higher next week. Next week is a week you don't want to be on vacation.

nitro
 
Quote from spidey:

The ES is a mess, the R/R sucks unless you hold for 10 pt moves.
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Have you done a study say for the last three months to see how close to the high or low of day you would have to have entered your trade to get 10 handles? In other words, how much of the daily range would you have to capture if you went for 10+, on average?

nitro
 
Imo very dangerous to buy for an intraday trade as I write this. It could change and I will let you know if that view changes, but now is not the time to buy SIFs.

1342 SPX is where imo one should start to accumulate XLF with size (or your favorite financial).

nitro
 
The strength that SPX is showing in the face of the shelling that NDX is taking is worth taking notice of. This is not a buy by any stretch, especially since 1342 SPX is such a strong attractor that SPX will soon yield to imo.

I am ready with Long bullets at 1342 ish SPX, at least for an intra day trade.

nitro
 
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