Quote from stock_trad3r:
oil is going much higher
adjusted for inflation oil isnt that high
Oil is damn close to as high as it has ever been in real terms, and it will definitely slow the economy if it stays this high. The longer it stays up here the more your buy and hold approach will end up burning you.
Check out this study that BP put out and Reuters printed a few weeks ago:
The following table from the BP Statistical Review picks out
key moments in oil market history. It gives average annual
dollar-denominated oil prices in money of the day and the
equivalent price in 2006 money. Prices are in dollars a barrel.
Year Money of Inflation
the day adjusted
1864 - Pennsylvania oil boom 8.06 104.35
1876 - Russian oil exports start 2.56 48.64
1948 - Rebuilding post World War Two 1.99 16.74
1974 - Arab oil embargo 11.58 47.54
1979 - Iranian revolution 31.61 88.13
1980 - Iran-Iraq war starts 36.83 90.46
1990 - Iraq's invasion of Kuwait 23.73 36.76
1998 - Asian economic crisis 12.72 16.22
2003 - China 2nd biggest oil consumer 38.27 40.83
*2007 Year-to-date average 66.96 66.96
NOTE:
1861-1944 - U.S. average
1945-1983 - Arabian Light posted at Ras Tanura
1984-present day - Brent dated
*2007 U.S. crude