Official midterm results and market implications thread.

The voters made their choice and have to live with the consequences of their actions! Their votes will affect them disproportionately, any laws passed by the liberal Democrats! They live in those states! That means high taxes, open borders, sanctuary cities, etc. On the plus side, we got rid of a lot of RINO liberals like Coffman and Curbelo who have opposed efforts to secure the US border! That leaves more conservative Republicans in the House. A number of those seats won was already in liberal states so, they can punish the liberal voters who put them in power!
 
The growing or solidifying city-rural divide is an important story of the night. We still have a lot to learn about the reasons for this geographic polarization.

One reason might be that the same factors that affect individual voting (like race and education level) also affect everyone in a community. For example, a college educated white person in a low education area might have social networks full of Trump supporters. In addition to their friends, people may also may be affected by their broader community. For example, even people without a college degree living in a college town might come to think of themselves as part of an educated diverse area. Geographic partisan enclaves may thus be hard to reverse, once an area comes to seen by its own residents as living in a culturally red or blue state.

- Nate Silver
 
exGOPer said:
It's not about rich vs poor, it's about educated vs uneducated, informed vs uninformed, rational vs irrational, fear vs logic.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/education-not-income-predicted-who-would-vote-for-trump/
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Blacks & Hispanics are the most uneducated demographic in America and they 90% vote democrat.

Young people are the most uninformed(and irrational) demographic when it comes to voting and they mostly vote democrat.

Older people have seen it all so they are not afraid of what's to come, unlike young people and older people generally vote Republican.

So I guess you're right. It is about all those things you mentioned.
 
I have been keeping up watching the betting markets and they have been leading the news all night.They were the first to show dems would lose both races in Fl while CNN was showing both leaning Democrat.

This is where they are now.

Dems take the house

Dems looking good in the races Im most im most intrested in,state wide races in the blue wall states trump would need in 2020

In Pa Dems take the Senate and Governors race

In Mi Dems take the Senate and Governors race

In Wi Dems take the Senate and Governors race

In Mn Dems take the Senate and Governors race

That is not good for trump in 2020
 
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peilthetraveler said:
Blacks & Hispanics are the most uneducated demographic in America and they 90% vote democrat.

Young people are the most uninformed(and irrational) demographic when it comes to voting and they mostly vote democrat.

Older people have seen it all so they are not afraid of what's to come, unlike young people and older people generally vote Republican.

So I guess you're right. It is about all those things you mentioned.
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Blacks and Hispanics would have voted for Republicans given their conservative leanings if Republicans didn't repel them with their outright racism, that's why they vote Dem - not because they are liberal. It's like Muslims voting Dem even when they are extremely anti-abortion, anti-liberal values bcos they fear for their safety under Republicans.

As for 'uninformed', you have got it opposite

http://www.niemanlab.org/2018/05/pe...talists-are-more-likely-to-believe-fake-news/
 
Tony Stark said:
I have been keeping up watching the betting markets and they have been leading the news all night.They were the first to show dems would lose both races in Fl while CNN was showing both leaning Democrat.

This is where they are now.

Dems take the house

Dems looking good in the races Im most im most intrested in,state wide races in the blue wall states trump would need in 2020

In Pa Dems take the Senate and Governors race

In Mi Dems take the Senate and Governors race

In Wi Dems take the Senate and Governors race

In Mn Dems take the Senate and Governors race

That is not good for trump on 2020
More...

Bad news is Florida and Ohio.
 
peilthetraveler said:
Yeah, that because Californians are moving to Texas.
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No,its the exploding Black and Hispanic population in Texas and its even worse now for republicans than what got dems to this point in Texas.


The total number of people under age 18 rose by nearly two million over the decade. But the number of white children fell, while the number of Hispanic children rose sharply. During the decade, Texas alone added 979,000 individuals under age 18, of which 931,000 were Hispanic.

Texas’ population grew to more than 25 million, awarding the nation’s second most populous state four more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives . Hispanics accounted for 65% of the state’s growth since 2000, while non-Hispanic whites experienced the smallest increase of any group, just 4.2%. The black population grew by 22%.

The Latino population overall grew faster than expected and accounted for more than half of the nation’s growth over the past decade, with the group’s increase driven by births and immigration
 
peilthetraveler said:
Blacks & Hispanics are the most uneducated demographic in America and they 90% vote democrat.

Young people are the most uninformed(and irrational) demographic when it comes to voting and they mostly vote democrat.

Older people have seen it all so they are not afraid of what's to come, unlike young people and older people generally vote Republican.

So I guess you're right. It is about all those things you mentioned.
More...


The education divide persists. Democrats appear to be doing well in well-educated suburbs, which extends a trend we’ve seen of Democrats gaining ground with college-educated voters. In 2017, Pew Research Center reportedthat people with a bachelor’s degree or higher favored Democrats by 22 points. As recently as 2010, that group was split evenly between the two parties, and in 1992, it favored Republicans by 4 points. On the flip side, Republicans have gained plenty of ground with non-college-educated whites in recent years.

- Nate Silver
 
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