Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2007

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for Mar 13.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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Expect a down day in the indexes on Tuesday. All three broad signal boxes are flashing sells. We should also see continued strength in the foreign currencies. Notice the +6 either-or reading in the Swiss franc.

 

[himself]

The signals posted today are yesterdays, note that there is no +6 for the Swiss and all are identical to yesterdays.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for Mar 13. CORRECTED VERSION

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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With one slight dissenting signal, the CzarCart indices are bearish for Tuesday. Also, expect further upside action in the currencies.

Thanks to "himself" for noticing I'd posted the wrong czarchart.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for Mar 14.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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The indices are flashing sells in the 20 percent indicator in the second box. This is a reliable signal which, for me, negates the otherwise strong bullish readings. I intend to say thanks for today’s bounty and look elsewhere for tomorrow’s opportunity.

Unfortunately, we’re not left with much unless you want to consider the yen a stand-alone market. (A reasonable assumption). Both signal categories are urging sells there.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for Mar 15.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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The lone sells signal in the less-frequent box of the continental currencies may actually prove reliable for Thursday. The yen made its downside reversal on Wednesday. Perhaps the others will play follow the leader, especially considering the renewed upside strength in the stock indices.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for Mar 16.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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For Friday, expect a sell-off in the bond complex, particularly the 30-year.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for Mar 19.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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All signal groups are projecting downside action in the indices for Monday. We’re evidently not past the wake of last month’s mini-crash, so buckle up. Steep drops may be a mere day or two away.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for Mar 20.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for Mar 21.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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For Wednesday, note the two less-frequent-signals to the upside in the 30 year bond. This is not negated anywhere else in the complex.

We’re also getting close to another stock market drop. If the calendar and less-frequent biases are an indication, Wednesday could be the day.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for Mar 22.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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Both broad signal categories are saying there should be a down-move in the bond complex on Thursday.