you did it again art...monday is the 4th??
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Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006
- Thread starter Art Collins
- Start date
richard rimes wrote
you did it again art...monday is the 4th??
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sorry!
i've had more work piling up on me than normal. not that keeping a date straight should be a big deal in any event...
you did it again art...monday is the 4th??
_________________________________
sorry!
i've had more work piling up on me than normal. not that keeping a date straight should be a big deal in any event...
Art's futures biases for Dec 5.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
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The bond complex is still insisting that the markets should be sold on Tuesday.
The indexes remain indecisive. We will be entering the normally-bearish mid-month period starting Thursday. The next significant moves is therefore probably shaping up to be a sell, but I wouldnât advise fighting the cross-currents just yet.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
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The bond complex is still insisting that the markets should be sold on Tuesday.
The indexes remain indecisive. We will be entering the normally-bearish mid-month period starting Thursday. The next significant moves is therefore probably shaping up to be a sell, but I wouldnât advise fighting the cross-currents just yet.
Attachments
Art's futures biases for Dec 7.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
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Thursday marks the day-of-month change from bullish to bearish in the indexes. This turns the calendar biases net bullish in the Nasdaq and Russell. The S&P calendar dissents, but all the other readings are neutral to bearish. Expect further downside action on Thursday.
Also note that the individual bond contracts are all flashing buys in both signal categories.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
_______________________________________________
Thursday marks the day-of-month change from bullish to bearish in the indexes. This turns the calendar biases net bullish in the Nasdaq and Russell. The S&P calendar dissents, but all the other readings are neutral to bearish. Expect further downside action on Thursday.
Also note that the individual bond contracts are all flashing buys in both signal categories.
Attachments
Art's futures biases for Dec 8.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
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The Russell and the Swiss franc are neutral. All other markets are flashing buy signals for Friday.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
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The Russell and the Swiss franc are neutral. All other markets are flashing buy signals for Friday.
Attachments
Art's futures biases for Dec 11.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
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There are enough dissenting signals that I wouldnât feel comfortable going with the overall bullishness in the indexes. Both the bond and currency complex, on the other hand, are giving solid buy signals. I would imagine that the 30-year bonds are particularly ripe for a counter-trending up-day.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
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There are enough dissenting signals that I wouldnât feel comfortable going with the overall bullishness in the indexes. Both the bond and currency complex, on the other hand, are giving solid buy signals. I would imagine that the 30-year bonds are particularly ripe for a counter-trending up-day.
Attachments
Art's futures biases for Dec 13.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
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Weâre seeing clear-cut biases in individual markets, but none that arenât contradicted elsewhere in the respective complexes. You can follow the prevailing trends, such as shorting the S&Ps or the yen. Various flies-in-the-ointment include that the S&P is opposite the plus reading in the Russell. The yen is contrary to the Swiss franc. Thereâs a +1 in the 10-year either-or that contradicts the other bond signals.
Maybe you can argue that the yen is ok to short because it has little to do with the Swiss franc anyway. I wonât argue. Iâll just maintain that the ubiquitous crosscurrents for Wednesday make me nervous. I therefore probably wonât do any opening-price trading off the CzarCharts.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
________________________________________________
Weâre seeing clear-cut biases in individual markets, but none that arenât contradicted elsewhere in the respective complexes. You can follow the prevailing trends, such as shorting the S&Ps or the yen. Various flies-in-the-ointment include that the S&P is opposite the plus reading in the Russell. The yen is contrary to the Swiss franc. Thereâs a +1 in the 10-year either-or that contradicts the other bond signals.
Maybe you can argue that the yen is ok to short because it has little to do with the Swiss franc anyway. I wonât argue. Iâll just maintain that the ubiquitous crosscurrents for Wednesday make me nervous. I therefore probably wonât do any opening-price trading off the CzarCharts.
Attachments
Art's futures biases for Dec 14.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
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The most interesting thing for Thursday can be found in the currency complex. There was a decent downmove in the yen on Wednesday in line with CzarChart projections. I didnât participate because the Swiss franc was contrary. That market, however, has flipped around, thereby giving unanimous support to the bear side. Any of the three would be reasonable shorting candidates for Thursday. Iâm going with the yen.
A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
________________________________________________
The most interesting thing for Thursday can be found in the currency complex. There was a decent downmove in the yen on Wednesday in line with CzarChart projections. I didnât participate because the Swiss franc was contrary. That market, however, has flipped around, thereby giving unanimous support to the bear side. Any of the three would be reasonable shorting candidates for Thursday. Iâm going with the yen.