Quote from William Rennick:
BALDERDASH!!
You have an appropriate handle, as you are stating what at this point in time is obvious. You have not gone out on any limb.
John McCain showed class and was very presidential last night. I like Obama and he wii be president someday, but not this round. These elections under normal conditions are decided with thin margins. Throw in the race factor and a maverick quasi Democrat-like Republican and the surprise landside will be the other way. At least 6% of the Dems are racist enough not to vote for Obama, I think that study is way off and the number will be more like 20%. Obama is peaking early, the Dem's are always ahead in early October , only to have a very close result come election night. Obama is up 5% right now,Kerry and Gore had bigger leads at this point.
Jimmy Carter was up 30% in early October.
The only poll that really counts is the Market, ever since Obama took the lead in the polls the Market has had one of the biggest sustained selloffs in history. So if you want an out on a limb prediction, here it is,
"McCAIN WILL WIN WITH 51% PLUS, A LANDSLIDE FINISH
Dick Rennick Morris out