North Carolina is a red state. It is irrelevant from a electoral point of view.
A winner for the democrats in November has to do one simple thing:
Win every state Kerry won in 2004 + Ohio or Florida.
Which candidate has the best chance of doing that is the only question that should be in the mind of the democratic party.
Here is the dilemma:
To put up a candidate who would likely lose the general election, but who won the majority of the popular/delegate vote during the primaries, or put up the candidate that has the best chance to win the general election based on polling data of either candidate vs. McCain.
The moment it was known that McCain was going to be the republican nominee, all the thinking should have gone to who can best beat McCain.
To go with principle above practicality, and put up the candidate who not polling the strongest against McCain would be typical of the democrats in the past, as they tend not to think about winning the election, they get emotionally wrapped up in particular candidates.
If they should learn anything, it is that they should consider what is best for America as a whole, which is essentially saying from their perspective, putting up who has the best chance of winning in November.
If Hillary stays in this to the end, which is probably going to happen unless Obama secures enough delegates before the convention the way McCain did to end the run of Romney, Huckabee, etc., at that point the odds favor a brokered convention.
It shouldn't matter which candidate wins the nomination, what matters is who would win in November.
John Kerry got nothing for winning the nomination in 2004...
Blacks or women should take no solace in saying a woman or a black man got a chance to lose in November.
The general election is all that matters.
Quote from TGregg:
This is the craziest primary I've ever seen. But McCain seems to be attacking Obama. That might be because he seems Obama as the eventual winner, or because he thinks Obama is harder to beat (so it's better to bang him up now and either he loses the primary or goes into the general cycle in tatters).
Or something much more complex. Who knows. I almost wish we could keep the Whitehouse vacant for four years, might be better than any of these power-mad lunatics.
Blacks tend to vote in blocks, 90% favor Obama. 1 out of 3 NC D primary voters are black which translates to 30 percent of the votes right there. For the Hildabeast to win, she needs a whopping 75% of the nonblack vote! That's huge. If she gets close, that's a big statement that she is more electable than Obama.
But holy moly if the demos pick her. They've virtually brainwashed black voters to view everything as race-based. The black vote is the most loyal block the demos have. And they will go moonbat crazy. There will be riots.
But, Obama would be the heir apparent (or however one spells it). If he brought "his people" to the table and helped reunify the party, he'd be considered the next candidate. If Clinton loses, he'd be a strong contender for the 2012 election. So there's something to be said for Obama easing the pain and calming the black power block.
But, Obama has at least some support that would view that as selling out to the man. Obama chose his church because of politics. He wanted to be seen as authentic and down for the struggle and part of this black movement as much as possible. It remains to be seen how much a reunification play by Obama would cost him. It might be very little, it might be easy to fix, I dunno.
Glad I'm not a super delegate.
