Quote from tomdavis:
After the first Gulf War in 1991, President George H.W. Bush's approval rating was a record-setting 88%. He then lost the next election. Why? Because unemployment was up, gas prices were up and housing prices were falling. In less than 18 months President G.H.W Bush's approval rating collapsed to 37%.
If the economy is strong at the next election, Obama will be re-elected. If not, he will lose.
Quote from AK Forty Seven:
Bush had Ross Perot and an extremely charismatic democratic challenger.
Unless a left leaning credible candidate runs 3rd party and the GOP finds a candidate like Bill Clinton I don't think the comparisons are similar