I predict it based on the fact that the 2010 election was 35 D/35R/20 I and the polls you are citing have Obama up a few points with a 7 to 11 point skew to democrats with random and or registered voters.
so when you convert to likely voters and 35.35.20 you have Romney way out in front. Just like Rasmuessen shows. Then if you take into account the recent Gallup Voter Enthusiasm poll... you realize more Rs than Ds are likely to show up.
Crushing defeat for dems across the board.
so when you convert to likely voters and 35.35.20 you have Romney way out in front. Just like Rasmuessen shows. Then if you take into account the recent Gallup Voter Enthusiasm poll... you realize more Rs than Ds are likely to show up.
Crushing defeat for dems across the board.

