Obama administration hints at prosecuting Romney for tax evasion

[wildchild]

Quote from Grandluxe:



Robert Gibbs says 'nobody knows' if Republican presidential candidate broke the law and calls on him to release tax returns

So 'nobody knows' if the Republican presidential candidate broke the law?

Well this sounds like an airtight case to me.

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:



Obama is down big,

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

intrade did a good job calling the Supreme Ct decision huh?

No,but they did a good job calling the 2004 ,2008 ,2010 and Wisconsin recall elections better then anyone else. Elections are different then a 9 person SC decision though

 

[jem]

do you actually have the charts of these races or are you just giving us the night before.

I would like to see this for myself. a 6 month chart would be interesting.

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

No,but they did a good job calling the 2004 ,2008 ,2010 and Wisconsin recall elections better then anyone else. Elections are different then a 9 person SC decision though

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

do you actually have the charts of these races or are you just giving us the night before.

I would like to see this for myself. a 6 month chart would be interesting.

Bush /Kerry

Obama /McCain





2008 House





2008 Senate






2010 House(From July until election day they had Republicans taking the House over 50)




Wisconsin recall( Had Walker over 50 the life of the contract)

 

[jem]

walker did not really get accurate til a month out. not that I would have expected them too as he did not know his opponent.

But a lot of those other contracts had 50 50 points before spreading out as election got near.

I do not see any prognostication ability this far out... at least not worth betting on.

I could have told you bush was killing kerry in august when intrade had them even.

House control in 2010 was even until july - joke. everyone but the media knew Dems were going to get run out.

From these examples - intrade is just a toy.

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Bush /Kerry

Obama /McCain





2008 House





2008 Senate






2010 House(From July until election day they had Republicans taking the House over 50)




Wisconsin recall( Had Walker over 50 the life of the contract)

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

walker did not really get accurate til a month out. not that I would have expected them too as he did not know his opponent.

But a lot of those other contracts had 50 50 points before spreading out as election got near.

I do not see any prognostication ability this far out... at least not worth betting on. I could have told you bush was killing kerry in september when intrade had them even.

Walker over 50= Walker winning.
Had Walker over 50 the entire contract which started in April


From June to election day Intrade had Bush over 50 all but 2-3 weeks


From Jan 07 to election day Intrade had Obama over 50 all but 2-3 weeks

From July to election day they had the winner over 50 in all the other races

So far Obama always over 50 in 2012

 

[jem]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Walker over 50= Walker winning


From June to election day Intrade had Bush over 50 all but 2-3 weeks


From Jan 07 to election day Intrade had Obama over 50 all but 2-3 weeks

From July to election day they had the winner over 50 in all the other races

I see thin markets which mean little to nothing depending on when you take a look at them.

I would also note Obama is dropping like a stone... he is down to 56.5% as we speak.

This far out Intrade means nothing.

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

I see thin markets which mean little to nothing depending on when you take a look at them.

Yet they had the winner over 50 the majority of the time months away from the election,like they have Obama now

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

walker did not really get accurate til a month out. not that I would have expected them too as he did not know his opponent.

But a lot of those other contracts had 50 50 points before spreading out as election got near.

Rasmuessen only had Romney over 50 once this year yet you predict a Romney win based off that.Different standards ?