The stock market being the best barometer of the economy in the next 6 months has been signaling a robust economy through possibly late 2011. There is little telling us what the economy will look like in mid-late 2012.Quote from Ricter:
It can never be logical because we cannot all agree on first principles, and their myriad scenarios. Not to mention the complexity of the system.
Anyway, back to the topic, I myself subscribe to the "it's the economy, stupid" theory of elections. We're presently on track to an Obama second term, ceteris paribus.
Quote from pspr:
we are about to see gasoline at $5 a gallon. That will sink Obama if it happens and stays there into 2012.
Quote from bone:
The fact of the matter is that the Obama administration has by design and intent leveraged the BP Gulf Oil spill into a two year moratorium on domestic crude oil production, and apparently this will be policy during the entirety of his administration.
In 2009, according to the DOE and the World Bank, the USA ranked number 3 in the world in oil production. That's right, in 2009 the USA produced from domestic sources more crude oil than Iran and the UAE combined.
Barack Obama is seriously way, way, way in over his head. I am still awaiting that flash of Ivy League brilliance, be it foreign policy or domestic initiative. Big or small, just show me something.
Quote from bone:
Mark my words, this will be a very big issue next year. In fact, by all rights, it should be a defining issue for him. He has no standing to blame Bush for this beauty. I can't see us paying $2.55 for a gallon of gasoline in October 2012, and Obama has done everything humanly possible in terms of domestic energy policy and Mid-East foreign policy to put the interests of the United States of America into the worst position imaginable. In fact, that's a common theme for his administration.