I am beginning to suspect a that just pullback is in the works, not a trend change.
There are a few things different in this rally than the other bear market rallies.
1) Since 2000, nasdaq rallies of greater than 2 weeks have occurred after new post 2000 lows in the index. Not this rally, it has occurred off a higher low.
2) A 90% up day followed a 90% down day started this rally, and historically, these have resulted in multi-month rallies. Lowry's other indicators are currently very green but in overbought.
3) sector participation in this rally is more broad based than the other rallies.
I am psyched to be short now also, have bought Rydex short funds at yesterday's levels, but I am limiting my outlook at this point to a pullback. And if the pullback is not accompanied by heavy selling, I am inclined to see the rally continue.
If anyone can get AMG data, please post.