03-27-06 09:39 PM
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Quote from ratboy88:
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Excellent post. Probably one of the smartest things I've ever read on this site. No wonder it's over most people's heads.
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Quote from MAGIC2:
Human interpretive reading of news, tape & sometimes price charts and acting on same, with prop-shop policy disdain for automated mathematical trading & money management that can analyze thousands of issues in a fraction of a second, issuing instant risk adjusted buy/sell/hold signals as opposed to the common human seat-of-the-pants attempt to analyze just a handful of issues at any one time.
Quant trading is just a matter of maximizing resources within a statistical framework of productivity and risk aversion whose objective is maximum return on capital, with no bias toward transaction, i.e., commission & fee, generation.
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While I agree with most of your position, regarding automated statistical trading, particularly in shorter time frames, you show complete ignorance and even stupidity in your first paragraph.
First of all, prop shops do not show disdain toward automated systems, in fact most of them prefer them because of greater revenues and easier risk control. This statement shows ignorance on your part. You may have a tiny weeny little point because there is no shop that actually fully caters to automated traders except maybe Schonfeld or Genesis which do it only to a certain degree.
Second of all, until some amazing AI is created, no computer program will ever beat a human trader on news trading or any trading action that is driven by emotions rather than numbers. In fact, computers get killed on news because they are random, out of the ordinary events. This statement shows your stupidity and hints that you do not have much experience and suggests that your are fluff with no real substance.
Fear and Greed make markets innefficient and create trading opportunities. If you eliminate that, you eliminate the opportunities.