NY Community Bancorp Flashes a $560 Billion Real Estate Warning for Banks

$BKX looks like it shows someone got a "Bluehorse" heads-up yesterday late afternoon:- ;)

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The US commercial real estate market has been in turmoil since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. But New York Community Bancorp delivered a reminder that some lenders are only just beginning to see the pain.

The bank’s decisions to slash its dividend and stockpile reserves sent its stock down a record 38% and dragged the KBW Regional Banking Index to its worst day since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank last March. Japanese lender Aozora Bank Ltd. added to the property jitters by warning of a loss tied to investments in US commercial real estate, sending shares plunging in Asia trading.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...on-real-estate-warning-for-banks?srnd=premium

Well, at least no Level 3 paper and other WMD financial products aka subprime CMBS and other crap




Yawning here....this news means absolutely nothing to wallstreet.


Nothing can take stocks down....not even a pandemic. And if a pandemic can't keep markets down, nothing can.

Maybe a late rate cut might spoof the markets once or twice but other than that doesn't matter what banks fail as the fed will bailout each one or find a buyer within 28 hrs to suck up all remaining assets.

Just keep collecting free money.
 
Ummm...

NYCB acquired Signature Bank.



domino-effect.jpg



I got the following text in an e-mail today from the ISI Newsletter. It's a very good advisory service for income investors.


New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYCB) announced on January 31, 2024 a surprise 4Q 2023 net loss of $260.0 million or $(0.36) per share. On an adjusted basis, NYCB reported a $193.0 million net loss or $(0.27) per share. Results fell well short of analysts’ expected earnings of $0.27 per share. The banking company issued a statement saying the 4Q period was hit by merger-related items and an FDIC special assessment, but also the need to take significant charge-offs, shore up loan loss reserves, and increase the bank’s allowance for loan losses in the face of weaker commercial real estate markets. In March 2023 NYCB announced its acquisition of Signature Bank, a failed banking institution purchased with the blessing and assistance of the FDIC. The transaction increased NYCB’s balance sheet to more $100 billion in total assets, pushing the bank into the regulators’ large bank category, requiring tougher capital requirements. With the need to accelerate its capital build, materially improve credit quality standards and metrics, and increase operating income, the company cut its quarterly common stock dividend by 70% to $0.05 per share. NYCB reported a big jump in bad debts, largely brought on by office properties. The banking company’s CEO cited two office buildings as the root cause of the real estate problems, a Syracuse office property with a $28.0 million mortgage, and a $112.0 million loan tied to a Manhattan office building. We last reviewed NYCB and its common stock, NYCB’s 6.00% Convertible BONUSES Units (NYCB-U), and the company’s 6.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Preferred (NYCB-A) in May 2023, following the acquisition of the failed Signature Bank (see Website and May 2023 Newsletter for full details on all issues). With the 70% common dividend cut, and the capital and credit challenges ahead for NYCB, future dividend growth stands to be muted for the 2024-2025 period, in our opinion. As a result, we are changing our recommendation regarding NYCB’s common stock to Sell from Buy for medium-risk taxable portfolios. With regards to NYCB’s 6.00% Convertible issue (NYCB-U) and its 6.375% Preferred issue (NYCB-A), we continue to recommend both investments as a Buy (see Website for details).
 
iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF (IAT) 39.88-1.13(-2.76%)

I have an option on this ETF at $40 (covered call)...I forget which month (don't want to bother looking it up). I was thinking it would get called away...But maybe not.
 
Ummm...

NYCB acquired Signature Bank.



View attachment 333096


I got the following text in an e-mail today from the ISI Newsletter. It's a very good advisory service for income investors.


New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYCB) announced on January 31, 2024 a surprise 4Q 2023 net loss of $260.0 million or $(0.36) per share. On an adjusted basis, NYCB reported a $193.0 million net loss or $(0.27) per share. Results fell well short of analysts’ expected earnings of $0.27 per share. The banking company issued a statement saying the 4Q period was hit by merger-related items and an FDIC special assessment, but also the need to take significant charge-offs, shore up loan loss reserves, and increase the bank’s allowance for loan losses in the face of weaker commercial real estate markets. In March 2023 NYCB announced its acquisition of Signature Bank, a failed banking institution purchased with the blessing and assistance of the FDIC. The transaction increased NYCB’s balance sheet to more $100 billion in total assets, pushing the bank into the regulators’ large bank category, requiring tougher capital requirements. With the need to accelerate its capital build, materially improve credit quality standards and metrics, and increase operating income, the company cut its quarterly common stock dividend by 70% to $0.05 per share. NYCB reported a big jump in bad debts, largely brought on by office properties. The banking company’s CEO cited two office buildings as the root cause of the real estate problems, a Syracuse office property with a $28.0 million mortgage, and a $112.0 million loan tied to a Manhattan office building. We last reviewed NYCB and its common stock, NYCB’s 6.00% Convertible BONUSES Units (NYCB-U), and the company’s 6.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Preferred (NYCB-A) in May 2023, following the acquisition of the failed Signature Bank (see Website and May 2023 Newsletter for full details on all issues). With the 70% common dividend cut, and the capital and credit challenges ahead for NYCB, future dividend growth stands to be muted for the 2024-2025 period, in our opinion. As a result, we are changing our recommendation regarding NYCB’s common stock to Sell from Buy for medium-risk taxable portfolios. With regards to NYCB’s 6.00% Convertible issue (NYCB-U) and its 6.375% Preferred issue (NYCB-A), we continue to recommend both investments as a Buy (see Website for details).

"New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYCB) announced on January 31, 2024 a surprise 4Q 2023 net loss of $260.0 million or $(0.36) per share."

"The banking company’s CEO cited two office buildings as the root cause of the real estate problems, a Syracuse office property with a $28.0 million mortgage, and a $112.0 million loan tied to a Manhattan office building."

That new math again. :confused:
 
(Axios)

Fed survey shows signs of credit easing
ADKq_NZlAHpSZqPlyoYSZkuDQZwlsZpSnEJIh-ccwTljqX_Hp_YbiVH05lEm5yI9dclp4XKJ-2QJfLoihNUunCNYsaD3-scPWSAkOeZ7xMm4BrOYxb8BDBxTUhx7GKmrNnnX1PWIUgavb5PGdJx4hevWGr2iivqKySQU_WpXeYnNsNIGOYuzXhIVsZROCA=s0-d-e1-ft

Data: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Chart: Axios Visuals
The Fed's closely watched survey of senior bank lending officers, out yesterday, suggests an improvement in access to credit for businesses, Matt writes.

  • Why it matters: Credit is the lifeblood of the U.S. economy, and it got much harder to come by after the Fed launched its rate-hiking campaign in 2022.
Zoom in: While more respondents to the survey indicated they were tightening credit than easing it, the size of that majority is shrinking — suggesting some bankers are less inclined to cut back on credit than they were before.
 
https://www.google.com/finance/quot...2ahUKEwjV8tqdwpeEAxXTFVkFHbpuBq0Q0pQJegQIChAB

it dropped another 25%, probably be taking over by the fed anytime now.
%%
WONDER WHY??
Including, but not limited to;
NYCB like its name suggests , is one of the largest lenders in NYC area. Rent control there is helping cause foreclosures, among other reasons. I used your link for that info.
Bloomberg Article, FEB 4,2024 Wealth Section ,has an article on rent control+ foreclosures in NYC also.

Having done business with WFC, BAC.... + regional + community banks;
much prefer the latter 2 sectors.
But the big banks have a good pr campaign + have gotten bigger fines over many years, so to each his or her own LOL:D:D
NOT a stock tip, i thought WFC did a good job with my home loan, paid off early.
 
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