Numbers

Where will ZN end up by YE?

  • >5%

    Votes: 12 27.9%

  • 4.75 - 5.0%

    Votes: 10 23.3%

  • 4.50 - 4.75%

    Votes: 13 30.2%

  • < 4.50 with an inverted YC

    Votes: 8 18.6%
  • Total voters
    43
An inverted yield curve isn't trouble; it's actually bullish for stocks, as long as it remains inverted.
The problem begins when it crosses from inverted to normal again. Then it's time to sell stocks.
 
Quote from KS96:

An inverted yield curve isn't trouble; it's actually bullish for stocks, as long as it remains inverted.
The problem begins when it crosses from inverted to normal again. Then it's time to sell stocks.
More...

Do you have some study on this?

Last time the curve inverted in 2000, I remember stocks started to have a lot of trouble before the curve uninverted back.
 
USD Core PCE Price Index m/m, actual 0.2%, forcasted at 0.1%.

Further evidence that this economy is buring the candle at both ends. Bond futures prices backed off immediately, but they are now recovering off lows and yields are now "amazingly" going back lower.

SIFs couldn't give a shit and appear to be trading far into the future of all this news. Markets can stay "irrational" longer than I can stay solvent.

nitro
 
Quote from 2cents:

forecast was 0.2% on bloomberg fyi
More...
Sorry you are correct. I was looking at previous and confused it with forecast.

nitro
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top