I failed to meet my goal. Today I violated my cardinal rule of trading: Trust the tape and lean not on your own understanding. This morning I could not comprehend how the tape could be pointing up. I waited 15 minutes for the selling to begin. I received nothing except a clear buy signal. I couldn't believe my eyes. I tend to be a logical thinker, and I just didn't have the faith that I needed to believe the tape was pointing up when everything else seemed to indicate otherwise.
Trade 0 (SLD 1379 BOT 1378.5) Yesterday in the evening session, I thought I saw a good opportunity to go short. However, I really couldn't justify this trade because it went against the type of trading that I am doing right now. Consequently, I put in an order to buy at 1378.5 and it was filled within a few minutes.
Trade 1 (BOT 1364 SLD 1364.5) [8:44:23 - 8:46:43] This is the only trade I made today that I didn't have a valid reason to exit. I'm not just saying that because it would have worked out either. I was just plain scared, and I couldn't manage to trust the tape wholeheartedly.
Trade 2 (BOT 1366 SLD 1366.5) [08:47:16 - 08:48:42] I felt like an idiot for exiting Trade 1, but I still wasn't prepared for this trade.
Trade 3 (BOT 1368 SLD 1368.5) [08:59:44 - 09:01:30] Chasing the market.
Trade 4 (BOT 1368 SLD 1371) [09:10:31 - 09:18:29] Thankfully this trade moved quickly enough away from my entry that I didn't have time to exit prematurely out of fear. Unfortunately I exited because I thought that I would be able to re-enter at a better price instead of based on market action.
Trade 5 (BOT 1373 SLD 1373.5) [09:20:20 - 09:21:47] Chasing the market.
Trade 6 (BOT 1374 SLD 1374.5) [09:26:24 - 09:27:25] Chasing the market.
Trade 7 (BOT 1377 SLD 1378) [09:33:13 - 10:23:54] Chasing the market. This trade had the worst entry, but I think that I managed this trade the best. Immediately after entry I knew that I had been a victim of chasing the market. However, I was determined to stay in this trade as long as the tape was still pointing up (I wish that I had thought of this earlier). Anyway, it went to 71X71.5 then came back up to 77.5X78 then went back down to 72.5X73 and came back up to 79X79.5 at which point the tape was no longer pointing up. It wasn't pointing down yet, but the buying force dried up. After this trade my nerves were completely shot and I decided to take a break.
Trade 8 (SLD 1359.5 BOT 1359) [13:12:27 - 13:13:25] I resumed trading at 1:30 EST, and was disappointed to see that I had missed a 20 point decline. Anyway, I got an uneasy feeling after I entered this trade, so I got out immediately. I think that the tape changed direction after this trade, yet I continued to try and go short. I think that this trade was my downfall. Immediately after I exited, the market plunged to 1355. At this point I slipped into my self destructive cycle because I felt entitled to what I had missed.
Trade 9 (SLD 1361 BOT 1360.5) [14:01:43 - 14:07:37] Desperation play.
Trade 10 (SLD 1360 BOT 1359.5) [14:14:46 - 14:15:12] Desperation play.
Trade 11 (SLD 1363 BOT 1366) [14:26:06 - 15:14:44] Desperation play. This trade was initiated purely out of greed. I wanted to try to get back last Friday's losses as well, but I only managed to sabotage the entire operation. The worst part is that it was contrary to the tape and I knew it, but did nothing because I had an idiotic plan that I'll explain later.
I feel like such an idiot. I just could not manage to get my act together today. My other major problem is that sometimes when I am extremely confused, I use my past experience to think about a day that was similar in market action so that I can use it as a template. I chose Friday, June 27, 2003. Today and June 27 were extremely similar except that today the sell off in the last 15 minutes didn't follow through into the after hours period. The reason that Trade 11 makes me so mad at myself is because I could have exited at 1362 (a profit) in the after hours, but I was holding out for 1359. If that's not being greedy then I don't know what is. Another thing is that I have the bad habit of revising my goals in the middle of the day after I've already met the original goal. This has always been extremely counterproductive.
In case anyone is wondering, the executions screenshot was too large to post.