NQ running again

OK, test this one in Simulation mode
until you're confident for Live trading. ( I know it works):)
On such days you can ride
the move for more than 100 ticks. Sometimes
a lot more (200+)...

*chokes* 100 ticks?!? That's 25 points! On an instrument that is ranging 200 points (800 ticks) per day on average?!? ACK!
 
Hi there Overnight,

I also use that same method for 5am to 5pm
Presently have a short at 13284.75
Looking at todays move there's a strong
chance it may hit that level.
Expecting 100 ticks if it does.
 
on 11 Aug,

NQ ran up.
Then it ran down.
what a great day for day trading.

and for the High-frequency traders, they'd say NQ ran

up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and
up and down and ....
 
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Hi there Overnight,

I also use that same method for 5am to 5pm
Presently have a short at 13284.75
Looking at todays move there's a strong
chance it may hit that level.
Expecting 100 ticks if it does.

Damn, that is the exact bottom, to the tick, of the current range from midnight until now.

mikeNQbottom.JPG


You must have a wide stop. Trade frosty my friend.
 
OK, test this one in Simulation mode
until you're confident for Live trading. ( I know it works):) Thank you, I will try it because I like the idea of 1 trade per day and profit target of 100 ticks per trade , and 1 trade per day lose or win.

Step #1 Open MNQ with a 30 minute chart.
Step #2 Make sure you can see at least 5 days
of price.
Step #3 Every day determine High/Low range.
Step #4 Range is absolute high and absolute low
between 5:00pm to 5:00 am Eastern Are you referring to the 24 hour chart?
Step #5 Use horizontal lines to mark
these two levels on your chart. Can you please clarify what you mean by the 2 levels? Is the high and low over the past 5 days of trading?
Step #6 Buy or sell the first level that's breaks
past 1 tick. Are you stating that if price is 1 tick above resistance Sell? Are you stating that if price 1 tick below support, Buy?
Step #7 Stop loss is the price level on Can you please clarify what you mean here?
opposite side that was not broken.
Step #8 Profit target is 100 ticks

Yes I know, many times you'll have a
WIDE stoploss. Just be patient and
wait till move develops. Watching
the chart every day will help you
determine the best days to WAIT
FOR IT.

Some days you'll see when MNQ is developing
a clear trend. When that's evident to you,
look to take position early before it breaks
any of your price levels. On such days you can ride
the move for more than 100 ticks. Sometimes
a lot more (200+)

In time you'll know when to increase your contract
size. (Goal is using Mini contracts instead of micro):D

Caution: ONLY use this with a 30 minute chart
and ignore price action on lower time frames.
If you use this with a lower time frame you'll
end up pulling out too early when the move
is barely under way. Lower times frames = Slot machine
mentality. (Stay away from it)

Once you win the trade, STOP TRADING.
You only need 1 trade/day. This will protect
your profits, build your confidence and
your bank account.

Patience is required.

To your Trading Success.
Hello mikeriley

Thank you very much for strategy and write up.

Questions please:

1. Why do you like the 30 minute bars so much? I usually trade lower time frame like 1 or 5 minute bars. I do agree the noise is less on 30 minute

2. 1 trade per day with the 30 minute bars does avoid over trading and increases patience. Is this your purpose of 1 trade per day?

2. See my comments and questions in red.
 
1. Why do you like the 30 minute bars so much? I usually trade lower time frame like 1 or 5 minute bars. I do agree the noise is less on 30 minute

2. 1 trade per day with the 30 minute bars does avoid over trading and increases patience. Is this your purpose of 1 trade per day?

I've used 1, 2, 5, 7, 10 and 15 minutes in the past.
Excluding a time series strategy that I use for stocks.
For me, it never gave me enough time to THINK.
Some, if not most trades need sufficient time
to develop to determine if it might have a
high chance of winning.

That's hard to do when the price is moving
fast. Also, it kept me on 'edge", when
I really needed to be relaxed. I also had a
tendency to race after trades, because
physical/mental movement by default
will make you react faster.

I was taught using small time frames
are for very experienced traders (5+ years)
Not sure how new traders can expect to
last when they've yet to develop the
mindset/skills to trade that fast.

I was taught to use the 30 minute chart by
a close friend and mentor. That Trading is not
a race, but a slow process, allowing price
to come to your level of analysis.

Yes, the 1 trade/day does exactly what you've
mentioned. I presently use a 3-6 ratio method.
I never trade over 3 wins, or 6 losses.
Before I was taught following a strict STOP
trading rule, I lost profits hundreds of times.

You can have a phenomenal strategy for making
profits, but at the end of the day, if you can't
keep it..all your work is for nothing. The accumulated
psychological pressure of that scenario is called
burn out.

The real issue is, I would continue trading
when I was already burned out. I use to do it,
and could never reach the next level.

Win or lose, knowing when to stop is the #1 issue for me.
 
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I've used 1, 2, 5, 7, 10 and 15 minutes in the past. me too as well, I get alot of trades on the 1 and 5 minute charts. Not sure great quaility, but I take alot of trades. I am not consistent profitable yes.
Excluding a time series strategy that I use for stocks.
For me, it never gave me enough time to THINK. I agree on this part. With 30 minute chart, I had plenty of time to analyze, think, set my stop loss, profit target and walk away if needed
Some, if not most trades need sufficient time
to develop to determine if it might have a
high chance of winning.

That's hard to do when the price is moving
fast. Also, it kept me on 'edge", when
I really needed to be relaxed. I also had a
tendency to race after trades, because
physical/mental movement by default
will make you react faster.

I was taught using small time frames
are for very experienced traders (5+ years)
Not sure how new traders can expect to
last when they've yet to develop the
mindset/skills to trade that fast. The advantage of small time frame chart is building a skill of analyzing price.

I was taught to use the 30 minute chart by
a close friend and mentor. That Trading is not
a race, but a slow process, allowing price
to come to your level of analysis. Thanks

Yes, the 1 trade/day does exactly what you've
mentioned. 1 or 2 trades per day, allow me to be business thinking. if I am taking alot of trades per day, I have no time to analyze all those trades after market close. I presently use a 3-6 ratio method.
I never trade over 3 wins, or 6 losses. I like this approach. I like to trade 1-2 trades per day for up to 1 hour of trading or chart reading. How many hours do you trade per day?
Before I was taught following a strict STOP
trading rule, I lost profits hundreds of times.

You can have a phenomenal strategy for making
profits, but at the end of the day, if you can't
keep it..all your work is for nothing. The accumulated
psychological pressure of that scenario is called
burn out. Do you think traders should not trade all day? Just a few hours a day.

The real issue is, I would continue trading
when I was already burned out. I use to do it,
and could never reach the next level. I agree with this part. on the smaller time frame chart, I would trade about 4 trades, and get in intraday drawdown, and now its time to get the PnL back to breakeven. After the losses come the recovery is alot of work for the day.

Win or lose, knowing when to stop is the #1 issue for me.Does 6 losses bother you on the day? Why you chose 6 losses and then stop?
Hello mikeriley,

Thank you for responding. I respond in red above.

Today I traded the 30 minute chart in SIM and made $800 in 1 hour. I was aiming at 1 trade, but kept on practicing.
 
Today I traded the 30 minute chart in SIM and made $800 in 1 hour

Do you Understand why....you made that $800 in 1 hour? Or, was it totally random, blind, luck of the draw,

The key, the Holy Grail, is knowing the future and why things are generally expected to happen. And being able to do that same feat daily, more or less, to turn $800....into 8,000.....80,000.....800,000,
 
Do you Understand why....you made that $800 in 1 hour? Or, was it totally random, blind, luck of the draw,

The key, the Holy Grail, is knowing the future and why things are generally expected to happen. And being able to do that same feat daily, more or less, to turn $800....into 8,000.....80,000.....800,000,
Hello MacBookProHo,

I was following @mikeriley advice of trading 30 minute bars.

I guess it was luck, who cares. I do not care, just care about making money consistently.
 
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