NQ Price Action Journal

[green.green]

From my perspective this can probably be narrowed down to two main reasons:

1. ease of mind -- entering and re-entering ALL the time will be more exhausting than just re-entering when we're actually risking a loss
2. trade location -- perhaps not as valid, depending on the circumstances; but your first entry might have better odds due to where you actually are in the bigger picture

I'm struggling to follow your conversation here. I wasn't in chat so obviously I'm missing some context. If I'm understanding correctly Niko is saying that if the reasons to scratch are valid with 1 point profit those same reasons should apply at any point along the profit journey.

If my understanding is correct then I believe it is a false comparison. When you scratch with a 1 point profit its because you were trying to buy or sell at a decision point. If you aren't propelled as expected and the price action looks dull then scratching allows you to take a fresh look at the market. You are on the sidelines and not strongly invested in the market.

If on the other hand you are 20 points into profit then your understanding of buying and selling was correct. Here a market going dull isn't enough to change our opinion of the market and we should make he market prove that something has changed. Until the last swing low is taken out nothing has changed.

I'm curious if DBP will comment on this?

 

[niko]

From my perspective this can probably be narrowed down to two main reasons:

1. ease of mind -- entering and re-entering ALL the time will be more exhausting than just re-entering when we're actually risking a loss
2. trade location -- perhaps not as valid, depending on the circumstances; but your first entry might have better odds due to where you actually are in the bigger picture

1. Agree, is a matter of focus, If only we were price reading machines
2. Agree as well, but is a trade off, and by that time you already have some money in the bank to play with so a couple of scratches wont send you to welfare.

BTW I am still constructing this, so I could be dead wrong.

 

[niko]

I'm struggling to follow your conversation here. I wasn't in chat so obviously I'm missing some context. If I'm understanding correctly Niko is saying that if the reasons to scratch are valid with 1 point profit those same reasons should apply at any point along the profit journey.

If my understanding is correct then I believe it is a false comparison. When you scratch with a 1 point profit its because you were trying to buy or sell at a decision point. If you aren't propelled as expected and the price action looks dull then scratching allows you to take a fresh look at the market. You are on the sidelines and not strongly invested in the market.

If on the other hand you are 20 points into profit then your understanding of buying and selling was correct. Here a market going dull isn't enough to change our opinion of the market and we should make he market prove that something has changed. Until the last swing low is taken out nothing has changed.

I'm curious if DBP will comment on this?

What I am saying is this, if you have a trade that is 20 points in profit, and you close it and then you reopen another trade in the same direction and scratch it for a point it looks better than letting your 20 points trade turn into a 10 points trade because you were expecting it to bounce at 50%.

 

[green.green]

What I am saying is this, if you have a trade that is 20 points in profit, and you close it and then you reopen another trade in the same direction and scratch it for a point it looks better than letting your 20 points trade turn into a 10 points trade because you were expecting it to bounce at 50%.

That makes sense and I agree. I struggle with the balance of giving it enough room and not giving back too much.

 

[niko]

I am long overdue in my journal entries, I will catch up later in the day. Friday was a very good day and there were many things to talk about so....

For now, and focusing on the now, seems like we are back at the bottom of the TR around 40 and we have found buyers again, so far they are still pushing prices upwards and a very small TC has already formed.

On our way up 58 could be out first obstacle as sellers could find it as an opp to reenter if they are still feeling bearish, if they are not, then we are back inside the smaller TR and the next destination is the MP at 80.

If sellers reject prices at 60 then 40 will be their first goal.

 

[gears]

On our way up 58 could be out first obstacle as sellers could find it as an opp to reenter if they are still feeling bearish, if they are not, then we are back inside the smaller TR and the next destination is the MP at 80.

If sellers reject prices at 60 then 40 will be their first goal.

I know I'm asking about straight AMT, but which TC has a MP of 80? Longer term, shorter term? The up move from the 20th?

 

[niko]

I know I'm asking about straight AMT, but which TC has a MP of 80? Longer term, shorter term? The up move from the 20th?

Is the TR, not the TC. The green rectangle. Actually both of them.

 

[niko]

I am long overdue in my journal entries, I will catch up later in the day. Friday was a very good day and there were many things to talk about so....

For now, and focusing on the now, seems like we are back at the bottom of the TR around 40 and we have found buyers again, so far they are still pushing prices upwards and a very small TC has already formed.

On our way up 58 could be out first obstacle as sellers could find it as an opp to reenter if they are still feeling bearish, if they are not, then we are back inside the smaller TR and the next destination is the MP at 80.

If sellers reject prices at 60 then 40 will be their first goal.

Looks like their first goal was almost a joke.

 

[niko]

I know this is overdue, but I need to post it.

It is friday´s file:

 

[niko]

Today was a very interesting day, for a few days I thought my mind was clear, but today things changed I got sidetracked by what I now think was over-excitement, and that happened because after my first trade I went to look my P&L, I think I will include a rule in my plan that states that watching the P&L is forbidden until 11.

The gray vertical line, marks the moment when I realized I was not at 100% of my capacity and I decided to call it quits, it was definitely not the place to quit, but it was too late for me, emotions had overtaken the brain and no matter what I did I would have been wrong.