Quote from futurecurrents:
Collecting air samples is supposed to make you more qualified to talk about AGW ? Sorry I don't buy that.
As far as sunspots. I was wrong to say they mean nothing. I was referring to the eleven year cycle which in terms of GW mean nothing, but sunspot activity over longer time periods is a good proxy for TSI and of course solar irradiation has an effect on the climate.
However, since the 70's solar activity is dropping even as temps continue to rise so solar is being overcome by the greenhouse effect. So even if solar were to continue it's decrease, which we cannot predict, the greenhouse effect would overwhelm the small solar drop. And the problem of acidified oceans would still remain even if the sum were turned off..
As far as the right wing meme of cooling predicted in the 70's, we have gone over this many times. Yes, the popular press made a big deal of it, however, the vast majority of scientists, not writers, were predicting warming. Your continuing to ignore this fact is evidence of a closed mind.
Your saying that you were "forced to watch films about global cooling" is highly suspect and probably just a plain lie and is further evidence that you are a partisan drone more than yo are a rational scientific person. Regardless of what was said back then, the fact that you continue to harp on this although it is irrelevant to the current science is disappointing.
I'm tired of right wing guys like you who should know better, appear on the surface to be reasonable, but instead toe the party line.
"clinging to theories that are now in question based on recent and far more accurate evidence produced by modern and improving techniques."
I have no idea what you are talking about here. As time goes on, the science behind AGW just gets stronger. And please don't bring up the 17 year "pause" or I will have to totally write you off as a reasonable person.
You already wrote me off as a reasonable person. At least a couple of times; pretty much when I don't agree with you 100%. Your insults proved that.
Collecting meteorological data, including temps through a parcel of air (we didn't collect samples, we collected data) made me an expert in one area...knowing how flawed data used in the models could be up until about 20 years ago or so.
Don't call me a right winger, because I'm not. I've agreed with you many times regarding AGW, but simply think there are many forces greater in nature, including phases involving the sun as well as Earth's orbital cycles, and any combination of the two, and firmly believe that many of those factors were left out of the models...intentionally or not. I saw an article the other day about GRBs where the scientists are now saying they may need to re-think some physics they thought were solid. Though unrelated, why couldn't the same be true with AGW science? The variables are nearly infinite.
Perhaps the films I am recalling were about pollution (seems when I was 7 or 8 I watched one where we would all be in space suits by 2000) or maybe they were TV news items. Been a long time, but I do remember the media hype, something we have a great deal of now. What a surprise.
Regarding sunspot diminishing while warming continues: You've been at war with jem over the ocean temps for weeks now. Perhaps the oceans are simply creating a lagging effect. After all, they do play a role in the temps of the atmosphere.
I wasn't even thinking about the 17 year pause, but since you brought it up, and I've concluded that you view me as a right wing toe-the-line bought and paid for Koch shill, allow me to address it. I left the Navy in 86. It wasn't too much longer after that when full atmospheric temp readings with satellite came on line...and began to be perfected around maybe 20 years or so ago. If there is actually a pause in warming, perhaps one with an open mind might conclude that having such a drastic increase in temp reading accuracy running about the same time period as a "pause in heating" is not merely coincidental.
Our difference is not over the existance of AGW. I'll some up our difference for you in two sentences.
You believe AGW will triumph over nature. I don't. It's that simple. There is no need for you to insult me over that difference, but if you insist, I'm more than happy to go that road with you. It will be your call.
Later