Quote from jem:
here is how your bullshit number was derived.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:C...ce_opinion2.png
The Anderegg et al 2010 source defined a scientist's expertise as determined by his or her number of climate publications. The top 50 scientists considered CE ("convinced by the evidence" in the terminology of the authors) wrote an average of 408 articles each which were submitted to and successfully published by climate journals. Scientists were counted as UE ("unconvinced by the evidence") if having signed a public "statement strongly dissenting from the views of the IPCC." That resulted in a list of 472 UE scientists, of whom 5 were among the 200 most-published scientists in the study's sample, amounting to 2.5% when the other 195 (97.5%) were counted as CE.
see that last sentence...
So you had 472... scientist UE... but they only gave them a 2.5% weighting while they gave the other 195... a 97.5 percent weighting.
you are completely full of shit fc.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/...ists-consensus/
Quote from futurecurrents:
The Vision Prize is an online poll of scientists about climate risk.
the majority (~85%) of participants are academics, and approximately half of all participants are Earth Scientists. Thus the average climate science expertise of the participants is quite good.
Approximately 90% of participants responded that human activity has had a primary influence over global temperatures over the past 250 years, with the other 10% answering that it has been a secondary cause, and none answering either that humans have had no influence or that temperatures have not increased.
Quote from futurecurrents:
The Vision Prize is an online poll of scientists about climate risk.
the majority (~85%) of participants are academics, and approximately half of all participants are Earth Scientists. Thus the average climate science expertise of the participants is quite good.
Approximately 90% of participants responded that human activity has had a primary influence over global temperatures over the past 250 years, with the other 10% answering that it has been a secondary cause, and none answering either that humans have had no influence or that temperatures have not increased.
Quote from Lucrum:
FAIL!