North Korea this week

atticus · Apr 7, 2013

They won't risk an in-flight failure or miss (T&T) with the BM25. The most likely scenario is another underground fission test at an increase in yield along with multiple short-range missile tests (not BM25 or TD2).

Expect it to occur some time Tuesday (00:00 to 06:00 EDT).

RedTankEra · Apr 7, 2013

North Korea pattern is quite obvious.

Threaten, obtain something, rinse and repeat.

scriabinop23 · Apr 7, 2013

Quote from atticus:

They won't risk an in-flight failure or miss (T&T) with the BM25. The most likely scenario is another underground fission test at an increase in yield along with multiple short-range missile tests (not BM25 or TD2).

Expect it to occur some time Tuesday (00:00 to 06:00 EDT).

I love your calls ... (although he did guide for the 10th, right ? ) That reminds me of Rearden Metal; where did he ever go? This place was fun with him.

atticus · Apr 7, 2013

Quote from scriabinop23:

I love your calls ... (although he did guide for the 10th, right ? ) That reminds me of Rearden Metal; where did he ever go? This place was fun with him.

Thanks. Yeah, the consensus is for Wed, not early Tuesday. Also most at State believe he will go for a BM25 but they can't risk egg on their face and will go with a nuke test and multiple short range missile tests.

scriabinop23 · Apr 7, 2013

Quote from atticus:

Thanks, but the consensus is for Wed, not Tuesday.

yea, but you're just saying he jumps the gun by something like 6 hrs. That is to be expected.

atticus · Apr 7, 2013

Quote from scriabinop23:

yea, but you're just saying he jumps the gun by something like 6 hrs. That is to be expected.

More like 8-14 hours as they do daylight tests. I wouldn't bet on the time but on the method.

toc · Apr 7, 2013

All answers to North Korean questions go through Beijing. NK is working on China's orders.

Mysteron · Apr 7, 2013

Pawns in a chess game, maybe.

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Rearden Metal · Apr 12, 2013

Quote from scriabinop23:

I love your calls ... (although he did guide for the 10th, right ? ) That reminds me of Rearden Metal; where did he ever go? This place was fun with him.

"Speak of the devil, and he will appear"

Lucrum · Apr 12, 2013

Quote from RedTankEra:

North Korea pattern is quite obvious.

Threaten, obtain something, rinse and repeat.

They used to call it Extortion.