Hey there... new guy here about to jump into day trading... so far I have perused a few posts/trading journals on this site, read a few day trading books on my Kindle from Amazon and about to open my TD account, so i can use their Think or Swim platform...
I have heard it stated multiple times "its not as easy as it sounds", "90% of traders lose money" and I just don't "get it." I am itching to get on the Think or Swim paper money sim to see how wrong I am... but can someone explain why this is so hard?
In my head I am thinking: study 1 pattern, make a scanner for it and be disciplined enough to only enter trades that meet that strict criteria, enter the trade with a stop/profit target that's 3:1 and just wait. It either hits the stop or I get the target. I specifically entered into conditions that are probable/favorable in this trade, so presumably I will hit the profit more than 50% of the time. At a 3:1 ratio, the profits are guaranteed. I see post after post of people saying they are grinding this out for years before they break even and eventually get into meager profit. It seems like as long as you pick your stop appropriately, the numbers should work out long term. If the account is 75K and you gain an average of just 0.2% gain a day, that's 6%/4.5K a month. If you have considerably more than this, the % gain requirements are even lower for a decent overall profit.
Alright. Once you are done laughing at my naive view of the world, can you then explain the flaw in my logic?