Quote from oraclewizard77:
Seems you have a short bias for example you hesitate on your long trade. I have a bit of a long bias which meant I hesitated on a short trade a few days back and decided not to chase it.
I do have a short bias only because with a solid setup behind it, price tends to fall more quickly than it rises and I like that kind of instant gratification.
However, I'm well aware of the power of breakouts to the upside especially after a strong selloff and that's why I was watching ES for any kind of breakout on volume. The only volume I saw early on was the selling volume as soon as the good ISM news drove ES price up just a few ticks above the previous resistance level. It was just too narrow and indecisive for me after that.
The bad AMZN trade was really the result of allowing residue of AMZN's long selloff to remain in my head. I had this notion that AMZN would have one more leg down to the $112 zone and no sooner did I short that bounce off lows to overbought, I saw to my horror that the moving averages no longer supported my notion. I almost exited immediately and very likely should have, but figured I'd let my stop do the job instead of second guessing. It was once stopped out that I should've immediately gone long or at least gone long at the next dip that found higher support. The fact that I made that dumb mistake though convinced me to just take a break from the screen.
