Quote from tomahawk:
Congratulations on the nice trade. 3-min chart, 5-min chart ... hey, it worked out either way, right? Surprised you took 14 ticks heat on 2 cars though ... quite a change from your former stated pain threshold.
I took a look at your Keltners on this trade ... have you ever considered a wider setting? ... I never use 'em, but at least for today, a setting of 20, 2.0 would've pretty much given you the HOD and LOD (as of 12:53 ET). It's obviously working for you on the tighter setting, but just a thought.
Hey, thanks for that Keltner setting. I was using 20, 1.0, but 2.0 definitely looks solid as a rock for entry and exit zones at reversals.
As for my "pain", after months of âevery strategy under the sunâ in sim, I hefted up my skirt, grabbed my balls and said âWTF, mate, I can do this!" My stop was 5 pts because I figured each breakout through R has been no more than 3 pts and that would take us to 1118.00 and provide me a couple ticks of wiggle room.
I truly regret not doubling down @ 1116.50 but I simply stared at my screen and thought, âSh*t, could this thing top 20???â (Isn't that the best short signal of all, when you're actually scared to short?). I guess I needed brass balls for that move, like Ammo and Flatron who, I will reiterate, have had an influence on me for better or for worse:
Ammo: Short 1091, add 1094, add 1096, add 1102, add 1104, add 1108, add 1110â¦â He eventually exits at a profit on whatâs probably a 1000-car position.
Flatron (Mr. Long) around the Thanksgiving panic selling: âLong 1096, add 1094, add 1091, add 1084â¦â
He eventually exits at a profit, but price dropped to 1067 before recovering and I realized that he must use at least a 50 point stop, or possibly no stop at all, figuring the worst case scenario is 0000.25.
