Had a Dr's appt this morning at 0945 est so i missed a good one-way trend day. Yes it was a trend day. I got back after lunch because since i missed the early part of the day i did not try to hurry back. Just decided to wait for afternoon and see what i could salvage.
The daily KEY reversal last week was still valid and considering the mornings action to the down side combined with no clues of a reversal to long i was looking to short. Why not? I did see claims were up before i left and said to myself if the ISM comes in bad, "KATY BAR THE DOOR" Well when i came back i saw the 7 3/4 handle drop bar down and assumed it was a bad ISM, later it looked more like a bad pending home sales # that did the deed. REGARDLESS, they were selling the snot out of the mkt.
From the then low of 1028.25 at 1330 bar up to 1034.75 at 1425 est bar it was only a 6 handle ugly retrace and failed to take out the previous high of 1035.75 at the 1230 bar..........Hoggy was looking to get short OINK!!!!, OINK!!!!
Price at that 1034.75 @1025 est closed and the next bar dropped to 1032x, the next bar only made it up to 1034 and closed a tick off its low. That was my clue to get short at the previous bars low of 1032.x. I went short there and took 6 ticks of heat on the next 2 bars before price dropped to 1029.75 and danced around for a long while even to a 3 tick taking heat again........but i hung in there for what looked like my only trade of the day. Bingo, dropped down to 1027x and i yanked it while price continued to go to the days low 3 more handles. trading is funny because i knew it was still weak but was satisfied after fighting it for so long. Sure enough after the low we bounced back up to 1027, so i felt just fine.
There is no perfection in trading. Just being pretty good is all we need. Newer traders try to anticipate trend changes more often then is called for when they should be looking for the trend to continue. I assure you, it is easier and more rewarding.
Here is a goal for any newer trader after watching ES for a year or more combined with previous trading experience. (I might be a little optimistic here but this exercise in live trtading is a doable worthwhile goal.) Ask yourself if you are capable of doing this in sim and if the answer is yes, go and do it and when you can average the goal per day...............move to live bullets flying trading. This is rather easy to accomplish .
Here is the goal. Narrow your signals down to a couple, not 6 or 7, but maybe 1 to 3, MAX. I realize "it is hard to learn, but it is even harder to unlearn"
Trading 4 handles a day for a goal of JUST 2 handles a day (8 ticks) ( plus a tick to pay for commissions) will net a trader $400 a day, 2 grand a week, 8 grand a month (i assume 20 trading days a month average), Ok, for 12 months thats 96K a year before taxes. 2 handles a day, let me repeat that .... 2 handles a day. Then after that you do the math if you double the cars traded day in day out. (not compounding, ha, just the same each day until you move up more)
Here is the beauty of the exercise..........when you can do that you will be able to average 5 handles + a day. You will laugh at yourself when you consider you once just went for 2 a day. BUT, you need to do that FIRST.
Unlearn what you know and learn LESS for MORE. Just a signal or two.
Have a good weekend. Today was the 1st of Oct and the first frost of the year. ha. I love fall, leaves get beautiful, holidays come in fall and winter. Winter clothes are more fashionable than summer. Nothing like snuggling up in the warm clothes by the fireplace and a good movie and a HOT choclolate.
The daily KEY reversal last week was still valid and considering the mornings action to the down side combined with no clues of a reversal to long i was looking to short. Why not? I did see claims were up before i left and said to myself if the ISM comes in bad, "KATY BAR THE DOOR" Well when i came back i saw the 7 3/4 handle drop bar down and assumed it was a bad ISM, later it looked more like a bad pending home sales # that did the deed. REGARDLESS, they were selling the snot out of the mkt.
From the then low of 1028.25 at 1330 bar up to 1034.75 at 1425 est bar it was only a 6 handle ugly retrace and failed to take out the previous high of 1035.75 at the 1230 bar..........Hoggy was looking to get short OINK!!!!, OINK!!!!
Price at that 1034.75 @1025 est closed and the next bar dropped to 1032x, the next bar only made it up to 1034 and closed a tick off its low. That was my clue to get short at the previous bars low of 1032.x. I went short there and took 6 ticks of heat on the next 2 bars before price dropped to 1029.75 and danced around for a long while even to a 3 tick taking heat again........but i hung in there for what looked like my only trade of the day. Bingo, dropped down to 1027x and i yanked it while price continued to go to the days low 3 more handles. trading is funny because i knew it was still weak but was satisfied after fighting it for so long. Sure enough after the low we bounced back up to 1027, so i felt just fine.
There is no perfection in trading. Just being pretty good is all we need. Newer traders try to anticipate trend changes more often then is called for when they should be looking for the trend to continue. I assure you, it is easier and more rewarding.
Here is a goal for any newer trader after watching ES for a year or more combined with previous trading experience. (I might be a little optimistic here but this exercise in live trtading is a doable worthwhile goal.) Ask yourself if you are capable of doing this in sim and if the answer is yes, go and do it and when you can average the goal per day...............move to live bullets flying trading. This is rather easy to accomplish .
Here is the goal. Narrow your signals down to a couple, not 6 or 7, but maybe 1 to 3, MAX. I realize "it is hard to learn, but it is even harder to unlearn"
Trading 4 handles a day for a goal of JUST 2 handles a day (8 ticks) ( plus a tick to pay for commissions) will net a trader $400 a day, 2 grand a week, 8 grand a month (i assume 20 trading days a month average), Ok, for 12 months thats 96K a year before taxes. 2 handles a day, let me repeat that .... 2 handles a day. Then after that you do the math if you double the cars traded day in day out. (not compounding, ha, just the same each day until you move up more)
Here is the beauty of the exercise..........when you can do that you will be able to average 5 handles + a day. You will laugh at yourself when you consider you once just went for 2 a day. BUT, you need to do that FIRST.
Unlearn what you know and learn LESS for MORE. Just a signal or two.
Have a good weekend. Today was the 1st of Oct and the first frost of the year. ha. I love fall, leaves get beautiful, holidays come in fall and winter. Winter clothes are more fashionable than summer. Nothing like snuggling up in the warm clothes by the fireplace and a good movie and a HOT choclolate.
