+ $273
Wanted to trade CAL again today, so I waited for a trend to be established. After a double bottom established support, it rallied again and I shorted @ 16.49 when overbought stochastic indicated a likely failure to test the HOD. Covered @ 16.24 for a $125 gain when oversold stochastic crossed up, catching most of that move.
Shorted again @ 16.60 (previous resistance) when the rally seemed to stall there in an overbought condition. I set the 16.79 HOD as my mental stop, but it failed to test that level and rapidly pulled back. Covered @ 16.45 just pennies from the bottom of the move when it reached an extremely oversold condition, for a $75 gain.
It bounced off that bottom, reached an overbought condition, and broke right through the HOD. Although the stochastics by themselves continued to indicate strong short opportunities at every little slowdown, I sensed a bear trap because a) this rally came off a much higher low than the original double bottom, b) an overall uptrend was now established (higher lows, higher highs), and c) a break through the HOD often means the next round number will be tested. In this case thatâs exactly what happened and in fact it broke right through 17 without pause. It ranged around a lot after that and I moved on.
AVP hitting the high ticker. I was tempted to short them right then and there @ 25.95-ish, but it wasnât trading at its recent highs yet and I learned that one who tries to pick top may get taken for a spin. So I decided I would short on a failure to make a new high. It pulled back a bit, rallied to 25.89 and reversed. I shorted @ 25.81 and covered at market for a $113 gain when it dipped to 25.55 and reversed from an oversold condition. That pretty much became the new support of the day and it was stuck in a tight range after that, so I moved on.
Watched BIIB climb to re-test the HOD of 45.27. It came close, pulled back a tiny bit, tried again and I placed an offer just under the HOD and it missed by pennies, then tanked hard. I tried to short again on the last rally of the day, and also missed the entry by a few pennies. I shouldâve been less conservative with these rallies in such a down market, because both shorts would have been fantastic.
I feel that my trading is becoming quite disciplined lately, and my biggest shortcoming is simply not trading enough. I see many opportunities and often hesitate, missing the best opportunities. I also have a bad ADD habit of watching one chart for a setup, then getting distracted watching another one, and I should be more focused in that regard.
I posted what I think is a great learning opportunity chart here, showing a variety of parameters to "eyeball" before putting on a trade. Support, resistance, trends, and stochastics all combined to set up some strong opportunities.