+$113
I was very tempted to fade ES pre-market, but decided to let the market talk to me first.
Short ES @ 950.75 on breakdown of -6 line, covered @ 948.50 pivot from deep spike below lower channel for +$108.
A downtrend was clearly established and I watched price action when the bounce approached the 20 EMA. The downtrend quickly resumed off that level, but I didnât put on the trade because I donât have full confidence yet, being quite new at this.
Short STEC @ 32.77 pullback from failure to make a new high, trailed a stop, wicked out for +$27. I hate using stops with STEC, but Iâve seen what it can do (just take a peek at the later b/o), so câest la vie.
Nice hammer left below the lower channel line on ES, but I did not go long, again lack of confidence. This led to a rally that pulled back just above the upper channel and did I take that trade?
No.
Here is the major difference between paper trading and live trading for me: Paper trading I jump right in, as you can tell from my recent posts; live trading I second guess every setup and sit on my hands.
The pullback from above the upper channel was above previous resistance, meaning price should pull just back to the lower channel line and resume the move up, which it did almost exactly. I had no expectancy either direction at this point, so I watched the action for quite some time. It was actually very educational for me to watch the action today, drifting lower for quite some time off each move to the 20 EMA.
Watched it drift lower and then find support @ 939.50. Why, I wondered, was this the reversal point? I looked at a 1-week chart and there it was: previous support almost to the tick.
This made me realize I need to watch multiple time frames; Iâve been too myopic and missing key points in my time frame provided by the bigger picture.
Once this level provided the first hint of a reversal since morningâs lower high, I saw a higher low established just beneath the 20 EMA before 2 p.m. and that was a long signal for me @ 942.50, but again I did not have the confidence to trade it, missing a huge move to the long side.
Hog, please come to Tucson for a week, stand over my shoulder and make me trade my signals. Iâll provide really fine home cooking and a nice cool swimming pool.
Short MFE @ 43.25, pull back from lower high, stop @ 43.35 above the HOD, hit after quite some time for -$22. Didnât seem like enough upside to play the double stop, so called it a day here.