NFLX

Phill, Thanks for your commentary on $NFLX, I follow it pretty regularly. While I am a novice trader, I focus on watching Netflix as a start. It seems like the stock will make an initial low right as the market opens, then rise, then retest that low, then rise again. Do you see that pattern? What do you see the stock doing next week? I think it will retest 114.
 
So I need an experienced traders help. I did a little research and looked at Netflix historical stock price. I didn't do a very extended period of time, but for the month of December if you simply bought Netflix on the open and your goal was to make 1PT. You would successfully make that trade 83% of the time. Just glancing at the data, it seems that way for the months of November and October.

If I traded 100 contracts at a time… You do the math. The probabilities seems quite high. Any thoughts?
 
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