Nflx

Quote from stock777:

the iceman loseth

just a few pennies

but its funny that I am always thinking of angles, and I thought - "why not take a shot n some puts". Never thought it would crash but I looked at the 205p @2.45 and thought "hmmmm... maybe it trades to 200 by Friday and that makes a nice st profit."

Thus, if I had bought just a 4 lot, like I did for the calls it would mean almost a $14,000 profit.

What's the moral or lesson of that story... yu always miss 100% of the shots you DO NOT take?? Can't just be gambling on lottery tickets with 2 days to expiry on a OTM put.
 
this stock is in distribution mode for the moment, on a scalp long 162 area with a stop around 160, longer term stock looks broken. This is a tough call. you may look at risk reversals if you know what you are doing. Good trading.
 
the problem is not purely netflix, it's the US retail sector, take a closer look at the table of this link:

http://econometricsanalysis.wordpress.com/us-sales-reports/sales-2011/august-2011/

For e.g., look at Retail Total less Gasoline from the above, the gain is a whoppy 0.003%, that means their gain in spending solely goes to gasoline, when you remove gasoline, you have no $$.

many sectors are tanking compares to a year ago:

http://econometricsanalysis.wordpress.com/us-sales-reports/sales-2010/august-2010/

By comparison, look at the same month a year ago from the above link:

retail total less gasoline is a gain of 0.254%.

So the consumer discretionary sector is tanking fast, we'll see a lot more cut back in non-essential spending in the next many, many months to come
 
Quote from Happy Hopping:

the problem is not purely netflix, it's the US retail sector, take a closer look at the table of this link:

http://econometricsanalysis.wordpress.com/us-sales-reports/sales-2011/august-2011/

For e.g., look at Retail Total less Gasoline from the above, the gain is a whoppy 0.003%, that means their gain in spending solely goes to gasoline, when you remove gasoline, you have no $$.

many sectors are tanking compares to a year ago:

http://econometricsanalysis.wordpress.com/us-sales-reports/sales-2010/august-2010/

By comparison, look at the same month a year ago from the above link:

retail total less gasoline is a gain of 0.254%.

So the consumer discretionary sector is tanking fast, we'll see a lot more cut back in non-essential spending in the next many, many months to come

then why is the market going up-- I have puts on NDX, and as of Friday, on APPL. Yet the sucker hits 400 and NDX goes up all week.
 
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