New York Flu vs CV
- Thread starter southall
- Start date
The virus subsides in the summer.
A second wave is likely to start in October. Peaking in December.
That is when the next round of lockdowns will have to happen.
There may have to be lockdowns from October 2020 all the way to March 2021.
This is what happened with Spanish flu.
"There were 3 different waves of illness during the pandemic, starting in March 1918 and subsiding by summer of 1919. The pandemic peaked in the U.S. during the second wave, in the fall of 1918. This highly fatal second wave was responsible for most of the U.S. deaths attributed to the pandemic.
A third wave of illness occurred during the winter and spring of 1919, adding to the pandemic death toll. The third wave of the pandemic subsided during the summer of 1919."
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The problem with this comparison is that covid and spanish flue are not the same virus and may well behave very differently. In fact, the spread of the virus in work areas of the planet seems to indicate that without social distancing (and others) measures the virus may well keep spreading in summer. For instance the epidemic is spreading in south america, even in tropical regions, so it does not seem to be significantly affected by warm weather. I would really hope it was, though
Currently the US is at 54,000 deaths. And 2,000 are still dying every day. So its not stopping at 60,000.
And only around 3% of the US population is infected so far.
They could of left it all open and let 1 million die, got it over with in a few months, instead they have chosen to drag it out over 2 years.
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Actually they do die from Flu, but nobody ever talks about Flu and Deaths, they ignore it.
136 kids died of Flu in the US on average per year. Nobody gets a mention, cause it's not in the media.
UK is upto 20doctors/nurses most 50's area, but as the NHS has approx 1million Nurses it's not much worse than the general public, seems worse as they've all caught it in a short period of time due to there job obviously.
But the media tells you 20 have died ARGGGHHHH they don't say 0,999,980 haven't died.
7 Billion people on the planet didn't die of C19 today, so you can all relax.
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The problem with this comparison is that covid and spanish flue are not the same virus and may well behave very differently. In fact, the spread of the virus in work areas of the planet seems to indicate that without social distancing (and others) measures the virus may well keep spreading in summer. For instance the epidemic is spreading in south america, even in tropical regions, so it does not seem to be significantly affected by warm weather. I would really hope it was, though
What we are seeing, could be Vitamin D related, which is the sun related issue.
NYC is similar position to the UK so not enough sunlight therefore Vit D before March / April, made worse by the low sun and tall buildings so nobody gets sunlight ( doesn't count through a window )
NYC had it first, but even then comparing to California/Florida/Mexico much lower numbers.
Or they'll catch up, we'll have to wait and see.
African Americans do they take longer to absorb Vit D from the sun?? Think they do, could explain that aswell.
Vit D3 tablets 50,000Iu for all that don't get much sunlight, which is everyone in lockdown and africans and elderly just incase.
come on! vitamin D deficiency? you wold need to live in a dark room for months before you exhibited any significant effect of vit. D deficiency.
Vitamin D deficiency can lead to a loss of bone density, which can contribute to osteoporosis and fractures (broken bones). Severe vitamin D deficiency can also lead to other diseases. In children, it can cause rickets
Vitamin D deficiency can lead to a loss of bone density, which can contribute to osteoporosis and fractures (broken bones). Severe vitamin D deficiency can also lead to other diseases. In children, it can cause rickets
Anti Body tests as posted elsewhere might be invalid, too soon to tell.
NYC taper out 30-35K area I'd guess, can't tell if nearby areas peaking yet.
But no, not stopping for 4 weeks at best, think 300K +/- 50K.
325million people sitting at home, wasting 2years of there lives, it's a bad trade in my book.
Still Zero proof it would of been any higher, estimates where all vastly exaggerated by a factor of 10, UK only 25% of hospital beds taken, no where near capacity and not using any of the 16,000 nighting gale beds yet
Spit balling, just a theory.
... that you are making.
CV-19 killed more in two months than any modern day flu in 12 - with lockdowns however strongly enforced, or not.
Deniers such as yourself have their panties in a bunch because more have not died as the original ummmm forecasts predicted. Poor baby. That is why they are called forecasts.
Reply if you want. In my case you are dismissed.