New trader. Is my strategy ridiculous?

Quote from slouse:

I am 26, make $250k a year, have $500k in my trading account.

I pick solid stocks that move with commodity prices. My main trading stock is CNQ. Huge cash machine and top management.

I only hold one stock at a time. I buy at what I think is a good price, start with $50,000. If the stock goes down I keep buying all the way down. Sometimes I end up with $400,000 of the stock. When it goes up a couple percent and I'm at a $10k profit I sell.

I made over $50,000 in June.

My whole concept is that I'm young, I make a lot of money, and if I take a big hit or get wiped out I don't really care. I have time to recover.

I want to get rich. Am I too risky and stupid? Setting myself up for failure?
Pink hole.
 
Quote from stock777:

how many bj's to get to that 250k figure?

Not a whole lot if you martingaled it. Doubling up everytime you went down. It would start to add up....
 
Couple of random comments.

Most people lose money, so common thinking by logic is flawed.

Your strategy is dangerous in equities much more efficient in indices, particularly dividend paying indices, ie. spy or dia. Remember that stocks can go to zero, indices will not.

Start slow, solid risk management and no leverage is paramount.

Buy low, always, ie 200 daily MA would be neutral, below is low, use wave lows as point of entries not higher lows and least of all higher highs.

Spread with patience.

I was losing trader until a kind soul pointed the above great strategy to me.
 
You are posting on the wrong site. This site is there for laughs. Vast majority of these posters are jokers. A few may be profitable but they don't make much. They can make $250K a year only in their dreams.

Once you have the money to trade markets, regardless of age, the first rule is to protect it till you have proven systems that you have coded. Learn programming and take a few hardcore graduate level statistics classes. If you can't code the system, it's bullshit. Never trade a system if it's discretionary. Discretionary trading edges died a long time ago.

Don't confuse massive risk taking with having a profitable system. There are several Journals on this board that prove how disastrous martingale systems are once the run of luck is over.

If I were in your situation I would first pay off the roof over my head. Then invest in other properties that cash flow positive, after taxes, to pay all monthly expenses. Play the markets with a very small amount. Take 90% of your liquid net worth and find a damn good financial adviser to invest only in dividend paying trusts that pay out every month. Keep your eye on the few good ones that will go down with the rest of the markets.

If you are educating yourself, plan on spending a good 8 to 10 years in the markets before you start making 6 figures or more in the markets. Any winnings now you chalk it up to luck.



Quote from slouse:

I'm not sure what's so hard to believe about a 26 yr old making $250k. Like I said, I work a lot of hours, avg almost 65 a week. Everyone I know at work makes at least $200k. It's not all salary. I get overtime, bonuses, etc. It's not like my base salary is 250.

There are certainly a lot of people younger than me making a lot more out there.

Anyway, I appreciate the comments and the PM's. I got a good laugh at the jokers on here.

I started buying real estate when I was 20, got a couple good properties in a hot market that boomed, where I made most of the cash I have. I don't even have a million in cash and equity yet, getting really close, though.

I should mention I drive a 1998 Altima with 150k miles. I don't care about material possessions...only money.

I'm going to continue doing what I'm doing until something goes terribly wrong.
 
Quote from heech:

You'd have equal success (and a lot more fun) doing the same thing at the blackjack table in Vegas.

Play $1k hands. Every time you lose, double down. As soon as you win even once, you'll be up $1k (overall). You'll only be wiped out if you happen to lose 8-9 hands consecutively, which is statistically speaking a rare event. Most nights you'll walk away up $20-$40k.

And in the mean time, you'll be in the high-roller suite, be bombarded with free drinks, and have girls hanging all over you. A lot more entertaining than dealing with customer service at IB.

A variant of the old "double up and add one" strategy. There's a mathematical edge there, but Vegas casino owners ain't dumb. They have maximum and minimum bets on every table, and those bet limits are specifically designed to cut the edge noted above into negative numbers. Play in Vegas long enough, and the house is going to win, every time.
 
Quote from wiesman02:

thats exactly what I thought. $250k a year at 26 yrs old is impressive. What job can you possibly get that will pay someone that young that much $ besides pro sports ?

Entertainment business or your parents own the company you're designated as President.

Mark
 
Quote from heech:

You'd have equal success (and a lot more fun) doing the same thing at the blackjack table in Vegas.

Play $1k hands. Every time you lose, double down. As soon as you win even once, you'll be up $1k (overall). You'll only be wiped out if you happen to lose 8-9 hands consecutively, which is statistically speaking a rare event. Most nights you'll walk away up $20-$40k.

And in the mean time, you'll be in the high-roller suite, be bombarded with free drinks, and have girls hanging all over you. A lot more entertaining than dealing with customer service at IB.
lmao
 
what you should do is effectively the same thing, except only when it makes sense.

Most likely, say, when a stock is uptrending and you think it is oversold, buy 10% of your position and if it rises pyramid, if it falls, average down, or double down, until the pullback looks like a reversal.

To ensure this you could place a protective put/s
 
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