Investor's Business Daily
Tuesday January 20, 11:25 am ET
By Brian Deagon
The National Science Board and a think tank of tech executives recently warned that the economic vitality of America is threatened by a lack of U.S. graduates in science and engineering.
Also, the Bureau of Labor Statistics says demand for science and engineering workers will increase three times faster than all job categories this decade. Eighty-six percent of those jobs - 2.2 million - will be in the computer field.
Yet unemployment in engineering occupations rose in the third quarter of 2003, say BLS data. The unemployment rate was 6.7%, up from 6.4% in the second quarter and five times higher than it was in 2000.
George McClure, chairman of career and work force policy at the Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers, says there are several reasons for the disparity.
For starters, the BLS was wrong the last time it projected job demand for engineers. The BLS updates its job forecast every two years. The last time it made projections, "it was way off," said McClure. "Their crystal ball isn't much better than the rest of ours."
To be sure, these are still tough times in tech. Despite the recent increase in U.S. employment overall, the tech industry is still losing jobs - down 3.9% in November.
The good news is that the rate of job losses has been slowing since peak unemployment levels reported last February. Also, tech jobs are being added in fields such as computer system design, which suggests firms are stepping up innovation and planning.
But McClure is not pleased. He points offshore, where firms such as IBM, Dell and Yahoo are hiring engineers by the truckload. Researchers say the cost of hiring an engineer in India is one-fifth the amount of hiring his U.S. counterpart.
Some U.S. engineers say they are having a tough time finding work because the U.S. government has let 900,000 foreign engineers work in this country since 2000. The number of visas issued is down sharply, especially since 9-11, but McClure says foreign hiring has taken its toll.
He says foreign-born engineers who have worked in the U.S. are being lured back home, where U.S. companies are now hiring.
"You can't retrain an engineer for a job that's moved offshore. Those jobs are gone forever," he said.
The National Science Board and the Computer Systems Policy Project have voiced concerns about the increased reliance on foreign workers and jobs moving offshore. But they are more concerned other countries are doing more to educate their work force, making them more competitive with the U.S.
Indeed, Carly Fiorina, CEO of Hewlett-Packard, and Craig Barrett, CEO of Intel, defended their use of offshore labor when the CSPP unveiled its report, "Choose to Compete," on Jan. 7. It's a natural evolution of business, they said.
The bigger issue, say the NSB and CSPP, is that America may be losing ground to foreign nations that are doing a better job of educating their youth in science and engineering. As a result, they are better able to compete against American ingenuity and innovation.
If the U.S. is to maintain its global leadership, it must ramp up its science, mathematics and engineering training, these groups say.
The National Science Board, which began its study in 2002, concludes that U.S. strength in education and innovation is threatened by two major trends. Global competition for science and engineering talent is intensifying, and the number of U.S.-born graduates in these fields is likely to drop.
"There has been a steady decline in the number of U.S. graduates in these fields," said Joseph Miller, a member of the National Science Board and the chief technology officer at Corning Inc.
There were 295,000 U.S. graduates in science and engineering fields in 2001, down from 330,000 in 1995. Meanwhile, the number of foreign-born engineers working in the U.S. has been steadily rising.
Whereas in years past the U.S. could rely on foreign-born engineers to fill shortfalls - such as during the tech boom - those workers might not be so available if they return home to work.
The NSB doesn't know why the U.S. is producing fewer engineering graduates. "Our students perform comparatively well in math and science up through the fourth grade," said Miller. "After that, there is a decline in interest and ability."
Even worse, he said, "When our young people enter college, they have a multitude of careers they can pursue. Science and engineering are rigorous and competitive, so many end up looking elsewhere."
The NSB, in its report, called on the federal government to direct more financial support to students and universities. For students, that would mean more scholarships and financial aid for those who study science engineering. The group wants the federal government to help universities expand science and engineering programs.
Emerging fields such as biomedicine and nanotechnology are future drivers of the American economy, just as computers and networking were in the '90s, says Miller.
"Having a well-trained and well-equipped science and engineering work force is the basis for our economic well-being," he said.