New Coffee question

N

nravo

Saw a story floating around about a strategy, from some outfit called Hard Asset Investor, I think, to buy KC on August 20 and sell on Sept. 1, a play yielding 10% regularly over the last forget-how-many years.

Anyone else aware of this, think its credible, playing it?
 
Quote from Rtrader2525:

I'd have to look at some stuff, but I thought this was the seasonal time of the year for coffee weakness? Harvest is in V I believe?
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Maybe it's a roll or something?
 
Quote from Rtrader2525:

I'd have to look at some stuff, but I thought this was the seasonal time of the year for coffee weakness? Harvest is in V I believe?
More...

Seasonal weakness for coffee is greatest in the June/July timeframe, with choppy, up/down/sideways action from Aug-Oct, and a year end rally starting in Nov.

The period starting aroung August 16, and going into Sept 1 timeframe is one of the most reliable two-week windows for a rally in KC futures.

Two other statistically-significant two week timeframes for KC rallies (to round out the top 3 high-probability periods):

Feb 1-15
Aug 1-15

I hope this helps -C.
 
Quote from circadian:

Seasonal weakness for coffee is greatest in the June/July timeframe, with choppy, up/down/sideways action from Aug-Oct, and a year end rally starting in Nov.

The period starting aroung August 16, and going into Sept 1 timeframe is one of the most reliable two-week windows for a rally in KC futures.

Two other statistically-significant two week timeframes for KC rallies (to round out the top 3 high-probability periods):

Feb 1-15
Aug 1-15

I hope this helps -C.
More...

Well, we already had a Aug 1 -15 rally (and took my profits, thank you). Does this lessen the possibility/probability of an August 17-Sept. 1 rally?
 
Quote from nravo:

Well, we already had a Aug 1 -15 rally (and took my profits, thank you). Does this lessen the possibility/probability of an August 17-Sept. 1 rally?
More...

Not sure, but I guess we'll find out, won't we?
 
Quote from circadian:

Seasonal weakness for coffee is greatest in the June/July timeframe, with choppy, up/down/sideways action from Aug-Oct, and a year end rally starting in Nov.

The period starting aroung August 16, and going into Sept 1 timeframe is one of the most reliable two-week windows for a rally in KC futures.

Two other statistically-significant two week timeframes for KC rallies (to round out the top 3 high-probability periods):

Feb 1-15
Aug 1-15

I hope this helps -C.
More...


Sweet thanks Circ.
 
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