Never Traded Futures: Advice?

Quote from TraderZones:

Best advice - don't trade. Seriously. The reality is, that probably less than 0.3% of people will ever make a living from trading. You will spend a lot of time and money, realizing the wisdom of not starting in the trading arena

Are you saying that you are in the 0.3% of people able to make a living trading?
 
Quote from MacDRider:

Well I appreciate your honesty. For whatever reason, I have not done well with trading anything other than oil. I've been looking mainly at macd, stochastics, rsi, and fib levels on live 1-minute charts, and have (knock wood) done consistently well with oil. I've made my mistakes as well, but I'm definitely going to stick what's working for me for now.

I was actually hoping to get some advice from folks about the actual trading of crude oil futures. Enough warnings for now guys, thanks though.

How is he honest? Traderzones advising not even to try????
 
Quote from Cesko:

How is he honest? Traderzones advising not even to try????

Almost everyone who decide to "become a trader" is going to waste a lot of time and energy. That is the reality.

The few analyses based on evidence of how day traders do is extremely discouraging.

Unfortunately, ET and the web are places where paper traders brag of their success and somehow actually believe they will succeed, someday...
 
I'd say sports betting has better odds than tarding , think about it.Thats why this fucking government makes it illigal , so guys
like madoff and stanford would fuck you up legally.
 
Don't let them scare you off. After all, if you don't try you'll never know. That being said;

Liquidity. There's plenty of volume and liquidity. The April contract traded 240,000 contracts Friday. Don't get fancy and try to trade some back month because the price looks out of whack.

Slippage. Most of the volume (80%) is electronic on the CME Group Globex platform. Slippage is no where near what it once was when you were at the whim of a floor broker. Under "normal" conditions, your slippage is very limited and quite reasonable.

Mini Contracts. Half the value, 5% of the volume. Only trade the front month. Cash settled so you dont have to worry about nasty little delveries.

Don't trade the numbers. I've seen API reports wipe out nice size accounts.

The market trades 23 hours and 15 minutes a day. If you like to sleep, day trade.

Current margin is about $8,200 ( day trade is half that). This is about 20% of the contract value. Just a few years ago, the typical margin was about 5%. Volitilty has a lot to do with margin. Don't expect the margin to come down any time soon.

Find a good broker with a decent background and lots of patience. Commision should not be a consideration at this point.

Take your time.

Good luck.
 
Quote from TraderZones:

Almost everyone who decide to "become a trader" is going to waste a lot of time and energy. That is the reality.

The few analyses based on evidence of how day traders do is extremely discouraging.

Unfortunately, ET and the web are places where paper traders brag of their success and somehow actually believe they will succeed, someday...

Then why don't you recommend that folks trade extra-day?

The number one reason traders fail is

1) bad RISK AND MONEY MANAGEMENT. It's either too tight or too lose. Either way this is the number one reason.
If you don't bet the farm and follow the 2% rule, there is little that can go wrong.

2) they don't have an edge. Trend following is perhaps the easiest edge to obtain. Intra-day edges are a bit trickier to obtain and develop.
 
Quote from MacDRider:

But I've never traded futures. Any advice, suggestions, resources, etc. would be very much welcome. Thank you.


i've only looked at the e-mini futures (never live, just demo). but my impression is that they are much more range bound than equities. your stops will probably get taken out much more frequently trading e-minis than equities,
assuming your stop is in the "range"
(just my impression).

with equities, i can usually count on some things ... a short squeeze for instance. i don't know if futures (e-minis, anyway) have the same concept.
 
Back
Top