Quote from mikeenday:
no matter how sound the system is, if it depends on *selling* something you don't own, it will surely blow out one way or another.
to read the direction of where the price will move is the basis of trading any instrument. And the holy-grail of money management is to *buy* whatever you want and risk it all in the worst case.
Quote from mikeenday:
no matter how sound the system is, if it depends on *selling* something you don't own, it will surely blow out one way or another.
Quote from Archin:
Can always sell a spread for limited risk.
Quote from sle:
Good statistics skills are not really going to protect you if you get caught in a liquidation festival like the one this summmer.
It depends on what you're talking about. With options, selling puts nobligates you to buy the underlying and that's certainly less risky than just buying the UL outright. With equities, excepting EA's and takeovers, they drop far faster than they rise and if you're a long only type, you miss out on some spectacular money amking opportunities.Quote from mikeenday:
no matter how sound the system is, if it depends on *selling* something you don't own, it will surely blow out one way or another.
Quote from adamm2:
I'm probably beating a dead horse, but this statement has no merit. If you use the same calculation of stop loss on any instrument, there is no difference between selling and buying.
No argument there. The UL can blow thru you stop but that happens on either side
You are confused by a basic statement (I think):
If you short something, you assume unlimited risk because there is no limit to how much price can rise against you. However, if you are long an asset, then your risk is limited to the value of the asset dropping to zero.
I have a problem with the infinite loss argument that peeps use against shorting. With GOOG at $580, there's an awful lot of pain down to zero. It and other stocks aren't going to infinity. Can you name one that ever has? Not much melts up
A lonnnnng time ago I had a mentor. I once presented him with what I thought was a well thought out theory about gold, energy, interest rates and asked him why I was having trouble with some of these trades. His response was simple: "Understanding it will only confuse you. Just trade the price action that you see not the action that you hope to see. " He was right.Quote from lindq:
Years ago I asked an experienced options broker to explain to me why my program of selling puts - which I had carefully determined was statistically valid - would not provide a nice income stream. "Because shit happens," he answered.
