This is one of the caucuses where Joe Biden might actually, squeak out a win. The reasons are Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren has been given the kiss of death by Unite union with their Medicare for All threatening their hard won medical benefits from the casinos. They crossed the line in the sand. So, you have Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Biden left. Bloomberg is not even qualified and would not have his name on ballot. Joe Biden has some ties with the union so, might get enough union support to win this one. I think he loses though in South Carolina with Republicans all voting for Bernie Sanders.
Nevada Primary - What’s your prediction?
- Thread starter UsualName
- Start date
Yeah exactly, that and the fact that the choices all suck as there's no clear front-runner to get behind. I bet the turn-out is dismal in NV. SC might be another story though.
Maybe true, I saw he made the debate stage and thought it meant he made the caucus...is he just waiting out until Super tuesday when he gets on ballots?
Hard to tell on the turnout there because health care is the number one issue for dems and the culinary union has ordered all of its members to show up and vote- maybe not in those exact words- against bernie who wants to take their health plans away.
Low turnout and dems have a mess, and high turnout and they have a mess.
That's 60K workers too.
I looked up the 2016 #'s.... 60K (or even half) would have a huge impact. Only 80K total turned out in '16.
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Associated Press
Monday, Feb. 22, 2016 | 5:15 p.m.
Officials say about 84,000 Nevada Democrats participated in Saturday's caucuses, which is nearly 30 percent fewer than in 2008.
The Nevada State Democratic Party said Monday that there were about 84,000 caucus-goers in their Democratic nomination contest, which is the first in the West and third in the nation.
About 14,000 of those voters registered the day of.
But in 2008, there were 118,000 Democratic voters who caucused, with about 30,000 registering the same day.
State party officials also said 65 percent of Saturday's participants were first-time caucus-goers and 41 percent of them were minorities.
Hillary Clinton definitively won the Nevada caucus this time around, but in 2008, she got the popular vote while then-rival and future president Barack Obama won the delegate count.
I don't think Joe is going to get ahead of Bernie or even come close to that in Nevada. But yeh, your point has merit to keep him up in top three somewhere which would a step for Joe of late. He will talk big about that and about how he is on a roll. And Joe does have a base of support which will keep him going through SuperT anyway. It's just that the while gig about being the only who can beat trump and that he is the frontrunner is up and that was his calling-card for even entering campaign. Same with S.C., I have never said that Joe wont win there but this is supposed to be his redemption where he knocks it out of the park. The jewel in his crown. Ahhh, no. He will do well in a state where he needs to do excellent. Just more womp....womp...womp.
The good news is that SuperTues is just a couple weeks away. Tea-leaf reading corpses is getting tiresome.
Minorities aren't ready for a gay POTUS, that's if they even show up to vote for a primary race
Pretty good call picking Biden to place. Gold star 4u.
**** Biden I meant. (I initially wrote Warren. I edited it.)
I get a milk-bone for calling Booty in the money at least.
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