Quote from DontMissTheBus:
BZZZZZZ. Wrong. Fail.
Since you will probably argue that anything I say as my "opinion", I'll instead point you to this WSJ article that does a good job of explaining it: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122806735083967109.html
In short - China needs to keep buying US treasuries to main their currency competitiveness in order to maintain their trade surplus.
Now, please stop pretending to be an expect on macro economics.
Quote from morganist:
I don't see the Chinese keeping up investing in America. Downgrade?
Quote from dtan1e:
the above dialogue is why nothing beats real world experience, from academia or even some parts of gov't versus from financial institutions
also treasuries as choice because there is little other options when u have way excess surplus due to a variety of reasons including for equities
and morganist u sh listen to don'tmissthebus though u may not like it but he's right
Quote from Random.Capital:
Apologies.
Didn't know I was in a conversation with a mind reader.
The floor is all yours...
Quote from DontMissTheBus:
Huh? You do realize that US Yield RALLIED after the downgrade right?
Even with readings in front of you - you still fail to comprehend the point: china isn't 'investing' in America. It's maintaining its trading surplus for its own good.
Further, how is buying US Govt bonds at these yield levels "investing" in america? If US economy picks up, then yield will rise, and they lose massively on their bond holdings. How is that "investing" in America.
And no, the inverse relationship between bond yield and price is not a matter of opinion. And yes, the negative sign matters.
Quote from morganist:
I still don't agree.
Why America. Why not Brazil or India. Or even its own domestic demand.
Quote from morganist:
There is a fundamental flaw of all current banking and bond products. They are based on principal investment.
Quote from DontMissTheBus:
Because America is China's largest foreign trading partner - and the primary currency in which it trades in and pegs its currency to?
And "domestic demand"? Seriously - do you know ANYTHING about the world outside of your room?
If you plan to continue posing as charlatan in macro economics, please at least read your local tabloid. I know asking you to read the Economist might be too advanced of a request.