Need to Experienced Feedback...

Hi

I am not selling a product, nor do I want to sell a product.

I need some feedback from an experienced technician who can tell me I was either lucky or am onto something.

First for starters read the blog entry:

http://www.devspace.com/~christianhgross/?p=573

And in particular look at the image:

http://www.devspace.com/~christianhgross/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/scenariorealistic.jpg

This is a random walk that I presumed as most realistic for the S&P from February of this year onwards.

Now look at the S&P and add the little jump of today and you get the picture of what happened:

http://tinyurl.com/6z5yhn

Essentially what it boils down to is that my technical analysis is SPOT ON!

When things are this spot on there are two ways to rationalize this:

1) You are REALLY smart...
2) You got lucky...

I am tending towards 2, but what makes me wonder is that with some other plays I did they were pretty spot on as well.

So the question am I lucky? And I would define this as maybe another experienced technician has this sort of ability as well. Or am I actually onto something?

Again not selling a product, just want feedback because sadly I live in my own echochamber...
 
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