National polls got it right

Tony Stark · Nov 4, 2020

National polls have picked the popular vote winner in 5 of the last 5 presidential elections.

National polls have picked the EC winner in 4 of the last 5 presidential elections.

Tony Stark · Nov 4, 2020

Once again below 50% approval rating=lose

exGOPer · Nov 4, 2020

First one term president in more than a quarter of a century. It's a complete and utter rebuke of him and his failed policies.

Tsing Tao · Nov 4, 2020

They almost didn't, and could have quite easily messed up. There's less science and more art to these polling companies.

Actually less art and more witchcraft.

Tony Stark · Nov 4, 2020

No president has won reelection with a first term average approval of less than 50%.

No president has won reelection with an approval rating below 50%.

No president has won reelection with a disapproval higher than approval.

Tsing Tao · Nov 4, 2020

Tony Stark said:
No president has won reelection with a first term average approval of less than 50.

No president has won reelection with an approval rating below 50%.

No president has won reelection with a disapproval higher than approval.

Based on this knowledge, why do we need national polls at all?

Amun Ra · Nov 4, 2020

Tony Stark said:
National polls have picked the popular vote winner in 5 of the last 5 presidential elections.

National polls have picked the EC winner in 4 of the last 5 presidential elections.

Where did you come from? I thought you were dead. You vanished in July and showed up today. Where u been all these months?

Amun Ra · Nov 4, 2020

Tony Stark said:
No president has won reelection with a first term average approval of less than 50%.

No president has won reelection with an approval rating below 50%.

No president has won reelection with a disapproval higher than approval.

And yet, it's looking like Trump will end up with more total popular votes than Obama did in 2008 which technically means Trump is more popular than Obama.

Tony Stark · Nov 4, 2020

Amun Ra said:
Where did you come from? I thought you were dead. You vanished in July and showed up today. Where u been all these months?

Volunteering for Biden.

Tony Stark · Nov 4, 2020

Amun Ra said:
And yet, it's looking like Trump will end up with more total popular votes than Obama did in 2008 which technically means Trump is more popular than Obama.

What was the US population in 08 and what is it in 2020?