Yep, there's plenty of websites that will give out this data. The only issue I have is that they include any outlier. At times you'll have to do edit the numbers to remove certain outliers that can distort the data. Other than that, those sites and deriv desks will give you pretty good data on earnings. I'd say the most important thing you need is experience in the stock's post earning price action. Nothing is better than that experience.
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My trades
- Thread starter optionsinvestor
- Start date
Looks like there are mergers every Mondays now. DPS being bought out. The market is lower in premarket, and I see all my positions are expected to be lower at the open. I'll close out the final NFLX call today, and I think I'm also going to let go of ADBE. It is showing about a 200% return and although there are 3 weeks left in the Feb options, it's time to lock in profits.
I'll keep a close eye on INTC with a 50% stop loss on my options anyways. I will also keep an eye on LRCX too. That's the one loss that I'll manage today. FB should be fine with earnings coming up, and that should hold my options at high levels. Sentiment on FB is still slightly negative, so I think we could see a pop on earnings. That's my guess.
I'll keep a close eye on INTC with a 50% stop loss on my options anyways. I will also keep an eye on LRCX too. That's the one loss that I'll manage today. FB should be fine with earnings coming up, and that should hold my options at high levels. Sentiment on FB is still slightly negative, so I think we could see a pop on earnings. That's my guess.
Closed out LRCX and the final NFLX call today. Wow, NFLX just keeps pushing as it rallies past $280. I had to get out. Now, I'll check ADBE to see how price action moves throughout today for an exit. Some parts of the market is coming back. INTC has bounced back to $50. AMZN is also hitting new highs. Looks like I missed that trade, same with the WYNN fall out.
*I added WYNN weekly 170 put here. With the entire NFLX position giving me 1900 in profits (which included the -767 loss from the put spread I bought ahead of earnings), I felt I could take a bit more risk here and see how WYNN plays out through this week.
*I added WYNN weekly 170 put here. With the entire NFLX position giving me 1900 in profits (which included the -767 loss from the put spread I bought ahead of earnings), I felt I could take a bit more risk here and see how WYNN plays out through this week.
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I.O., AMD (13.25) has its earning tomorrow Jan 30, 2018.
17,000 weekly puts bought on it today, the Feb 13.5P Bid .83 / Ask .84
(expires 2/2/18), yesterday OI=376.
Any thoughts on it?
17,000 weekly puts bought on it today, the Feb 13.5P Bid .83 / Ask .84
(expires 2/2/18), yesterday OI=376.
Any thoughts on it?
I know this is kind of late, but AMD's earning is all over the place. It does not a have a pattern in place at all. If revenue guidance miss, it will drop. If revenue guidance beats, then you can probably expect a beat. This is one where I would use a straddle/strangle for a simple trade, or set up a short butterfly/iron condor.
Looks like another down day to start. This is where I'll have to get out of short term position like the INTC calls. I'm also going to close out the WYNN puts I jumped into yesterday. I had a target of $160 on WYNN by Friday, but shares are already at $160 in premarket this morning. There's no need to keep the position open with risk now increased.
Closed out WYNN puts and ADBE calls today. I'll also get out of INTC today if it can't hold $49.50. Also added NFLX Feb wk2 270 puts a little above $4 this morning. Going to test NFLX on the short side heading into next week. I think NFLX could give some of that 50pt post earning run back.
Added an AMZN call spread with the 1450/1460 calls. I'm ahead of its earnings by a couple of days, but momentum is up on this one. On Thursday I'll see if I need to make an adjustment to this trade.
What a day. Closed out WYNN puts and ADBE calls right on time. The only thing I missed today was not closing out INTC calls when shares fell below $49.50. Remember the mistake. I did set up the NFLX Feb week2 $270 put today to see if the shares can hold this $280 or fall back. This one could turn out to be a total loss if shares don't start selling off below $275 soon.
I held the FB position, and that turned out to be a good hold. FB was lower with the market in the morning, but made a nice comeback to close out higher today. Along with AMZN and GOOG, those were the few large caps that held onto gains. Going with AMZN, I felt AMZN might trade higher into earnings and probably pull a NFLX move post earnings. I took the 1450/1460 call spread, and added 1 more after the short afternoon drop. Came back in the after hours to see AMZN rallied to new highs above my first entry point. This one's going to be interesting on Thursday.
I held the FB position, and that turned out to be a good hold. FB was lower with the market in the morning, but made a nice comeback to close out higher today. Along with AMZN and GOOG, those were the few large caps that held onto gains. Going with AMZN, I felt AMZN might trade higher into earnings and probably pull a NFLX move post earnings. I took the 1450/1460 call spread, and added 1 more after the short afternoon drop. Came back in the after hours to see AMZN rallied to new highs above my first entry point. This one's going to be interesting on Thursday.
I thought about selling NFLX puts this morning, but it's not making strides higher like in days past. I'll hold those and see what happens by Friday. Still impressed at AMZN, it has already hit my call spreads strike price and I thought I was fairly far out too. I'll probably flip it to a higher call spread and take some risk off the table.
I like CAT, DE, and BA today. Bought CAT Feb 165 calls already, I'm looking to see where to get DE with its earning due Feb 16. As for BA, I want to see it hold this morning before jumping in. It'll be a close call.
And I am out of INTC calls. Take the loss and move on.
I like CAT, DE, and BA today. Bought CAT Feb 165 calls already, I'm looking to see where to get DE with its earning due Feb 16. As for BA, I want to see it hold this morning before jumping in. It'll be a close call.
And I am out of INTC calls. Take the loss and move on.