Quote from cnms2:
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=879941#post879941
I mentioned it. I didn't enter because AAPL gapped down on 10/27 going through my limit order, and I never chase orders. If I entered I should've been ok, because I wanted to enter at $57 with a $3 trailing stop, which meant $60. As the 10/28 low was $54.17, my stop would've been $57.17. I wanted to open the Nov 60 Put for $3.8 and I didn't get filled.
This proves that money management (sizing and exits) could save / protect your butt when you're wrong.
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it is very hard to figure how AAPL keeps trading higher -- particularly like today- after its lukewarm earnings - frankly I'd keep an eye on it for a golden short opportunity -maybe look for a sweet reversal on decent volume.
also -- check out front month open interest to get a potential read on where it might head as we clsoe in on Nov expiry
I am going to put it on radar - particulalry if/when it breaches 60 level.
Only thing is -- in Q4 -- its hard for me to think AAPL will sell off hard. But you know what they say about opinions & arse-h-les.
Also that brings to mind a scene when (in Patton) George C. Scott's concerned about the Germans' plans-- and how they NEVER mounted a Winter attack before in their History-- he then says:
"so I think that is exactly what they will do"!
Whenever I think something is highly improbable or even borderline 'imposible' in these markets or with a particular equity- I always think about the movie 'Patton' --- and that quote !
iCe