My Options Play

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Quote from cnms2:

U_guest:

Looking at VZ's chart (attached) I see a bearish divergence. I'm certain about it. I'm also certain that this means a higher than 50% probability that some price drop will follow. I may decide to bet some money on it. I don't know if I win or I lose.

VZ is bullish according the tape for at least the next day or two maybe longer.
 
Quote from thenewguy:

I'm CERTAIN that I bailed out of my KCI puts FAR too early today....


:(

- The New Guy

Kci is still bearish as of close friday although a little demand is working itself back in. I expect it to make a lower low monday.
 
Quote from Cluseau:

Ya know, i didn't. HUM reports next week(mon.). Volume is too low and spreads are too great to get fancy in HUM options(not that i can get fancy with derivatives yet :) ) It seems next week will be a good time to trade HUM.


HUM should make a higher high on monday 31st October than Fridays 28th's high. It is somewhat bullish.
 
Quote from Cluseau:

LYO as a short candidate:
Defensive stop zone $27.80-$28.30
Target zone $24
Underlying price $27.19

This trade is not for the risk averse.

EDIT: As you may have already realized LYO cannot make it in this world netting $10 million per quarter--hurricane or not. However, lining up the trade one should place more emphasis on technical readings then fundamental analysis at this juncture in time and price. Also a word of caution if you like them deep and tight b/c LYO does not offer this to the trader. It will end up being more of a position trade for you. A good thing to watch is the spread at extreme price levels according to their timeframe--10min, 60 min. etc. I'd want to pay close attention to the 1200-02 level in S&P index monday before adding to or reversing this trade.

LYO should basically track sideways monday. However it might make a small higher high than Fridays high.
 
Quote from uninvited_guest:

I'm not being reactive. pinabetal is posting too late, anyone can do that.

PS...sorry about your order, but you missed a good call over a dime. Always put the LIMIT order in at the ASK, or use a MARKET order, and then call it the day.

PSS...AAPL should recover during November. :)

It is easier to make the call after the fact!! Just kidding. What I meant was that Monday it should continue to retrace and head south some more. Sorry about that! All the calls I am making refer to monday 31st of October even though I am refering to a post made on 26th or 27th ..etc. I am simply saying what I think may happen monday. Since the post refered to a specific stock on the 26th I simply referenced that post, whoever made it. That is all. I am not trying to make a call as if I were making it from the 26th. I am looking at the market AFTER the close on Friday 28th and making a forecast for monday 31th of October. This stands for all the calls I am making in KCI, HUM, VZ, BRCM, LYO and any others. They are ALL for monday 31st October. Hope that clears it up!
 
Quote from pinabetal:

It is easier to make the call after the fact!! Just kidding. What I meant was that Monday it should continue to retrace and head south some more. Sorry about that! All the calls I am making refer to monday 31st of October even though I am refering to a post made on 26th or 27th ..etc. I am simply saying what I think may happen monday. Since the post refered to a specific stock on the 26th I simply referenced that post, whoever made it. That is all. I am not trying to make a call as if I were making it from the 26th. I am looking at the market AFTER the close on Friday 28th and making a forecast for monday 31th of October. This stands for all the calls I am making in KCI, HUM, VZ, BRCM, LYO and any others. They are ALL for monday 31st October. Hope that clears it up!
pinabetal,

What are you basing your analysis on? Are you a tape reader?

Quote from pinabetal:
10-29-05 07:53 AM
VZ is bullish according the tape for at least the next day or two maybe longer.
 
Quote from cnms2:

pinabetal,

What are you basing your analysis on? Are you a tape reader?

I have my own software that analizes pure price action. I also compare that analysis with tape reading techniques that I use.
 
Multi:

I found this older thread discussing an ADX trading system. Did you follow it? Comments?

http://elitetrader.com/vb/showthrea...e=6&highlight=dmi\[\^\\s\][^\s]*&pagenumber=1

nyc-hotshot's first post describes the system:

"08-22-03 07:36 PM

I had mentioned the DMI in a Stochastics thread and got like 10 people mailing me about it, so I figured the best way to discuss it would be a new thread.

Anyway, I use the DMI/ADX almost exclusively (DMI is the Directional Movement Index & ADX is the Average Directional Movement Index ). The only additional indicator I use is Nasdaq futures. I have used this theory for day trading for several years and I consistently make money. I am profitable almost everyday, although I have had a few ( very seldom) net negative days when you count commissions.

DMI/ADX works great for any trading from day trading to swing or position trading. I combine the ADX/DMI onto one study. I make the ADX line white in color, the PDI line red, and the MDI line green. I use the PRO software offered by Realfasttrader. That software makes it real easy because it already combines ADX/DMI into one indicator. Although, I'm pretty sure most softwares out there also have DMI/ADX (it's very common), I think it's easiest to use when they are combined.

This is how I do it:
When white (ADX) crosses the other lines and is at the top and green (MDI) is at the bottom (red in the middle), it's a buy. White on top red (PDI) on the bottom (green in the middle), it's a sell. Often the simplest things work best and this seems simple and it is, but it works very good. I consistently make between .02 -.05 cents on 2000 - 5000 share trades. I usually go for more around the open (maybe .05-.10 or more). I ONLY trade widely traded Nasdaq stocks, like CSCO and INTC."
 
Quote from pinabetal:
I have my own software that analyzes pure price action. I also compare that analysis with tape reading techniques that I use.
Do you care to share anything of your trading style?
Thanks.
 
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