My Options Play

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Quote from iceman1:

gonna sell Dec05 32.50c IF I can get .70 today--- doubtful -- if not then Monday I'll look for 1
Problem with VZ is that uninformed technical traders would think the stock has bottomed and thus keep buying, the resultant effect being that the stock would systematically go up and then trend sideways after some time.

Daily Chart: Downtrend mode
Weekly chart: undecided
intraday: uptrend
 
Quote from Multioption:

Problem with VZ is that uninformed technical traders would think the stock has bottomed and thus keep buying, the resultant effect being that the stock would systematically go up and then trend sideways after some time.

Daily Chart: Downtrend mode
Weekly chart: undecided
intraday: uptrend

fur sure it could PB on Monday... thus... I am looking at possibly selling the front 30c -- however -- since I "believe/think" we likely rally beginning in early Nov (next week) and also "believe" VZ goes to 32.50 or above-- do not want to limit potential upside in Dec 30c

> keep CVX on radar screen

was going to PM you (or post on this thread) for traders to enter CVX calls @ LOD

either Nov 55c

or

leg into:

+Dec60c
- Nov60c
(for -0-)

I was + CVX Dec 60c --- short CVX Nov 60c. Closed all my short Nov at .25 - thus I now have a "free" trade on +Dec 60 calls

will look to re-open (sell) Nov 60c IF or when CVX rallies above 57.50

also long CVX 55p calendar (-1.00) with intention of rolling into Nov or Dec 60p post earnings.

TA: looks like a (potential) DB on CVX @55 with meas-obj of 64+ (not the most symmetrical DB but it may play out). The 2nd potential "bottom" today was established on 'reasonably' high volume.

Comments on CVX ?
 
Quote from iceman1:

fur sure it could PB on Monday... thus... I am looking at possibly selling the front 30c -- however -- since I "believe/think" we likely rally beginning in early Nov (next week) and also "believe" VZ goes to 32.50 or above-- do not want to limit potential upside in Dec 30c

> keep CVX on radar screen

was going to PM you (or post on this thread) for traders to enter CVX calls @ LOD

either Nov 55c

or

leg into:

+Dec60c
- Nov60c
(for -0-)

I was + CVX Dec 60c --- short CVX Nov 60c. Closed all my short Nov at .25 - thus I now have a "free" trade on +Dec 60 calls

will look to re-open (sell) Nov 60c IF or when CVX rallies above 57.50

also long CVX 55p calendar (-1.00) with intention of rolling into Nov or Dec 60p post earnings.
I don't rush to trade after taking a loss, no matter how small it is. Losses, to me, implies that something is wrong with my mental frame at the time the losing trade was called. So, I try to calm down while staying away from the market.

I admire your courage and disposition towards the market. You are a frequent trader but I am not!
 
Quote from iceman1:

I thought you were doing options on VZ (the Nov 32.50p/30p)

so how did you "win" .

Stock is up 2% today

On the VZ Nov 32.50p/30p I lost: my stop loss was just hit at $31.5 :( . I could've gotten out yesterday with a smaller loss, but that was not my trade plan and I stuck with my plan :) .

The "win" referred only to yesterday's chart example where I entered on the MACD bearish divergence at 31.06 and exit at closing at 30.76 (1% gain). It was an answer to a remark about being certain about a trade. At 11:45 am PST I wrote:
cnms2 reply to U_guest:
Looking at VZ's chart (attached) I see a bearish divergence. I'm certain about it. I'm also certain that this means a higher than 50% probability that some price drop will follow. I may decide to bet some money on it. I don't know if I win or I lose.
Then at closing I wrote:
Now I'm certain it dropped :( . So I won :) .
attachment.php
 
Quote from Multioption:

You are a frequent trader but I am not!

and THAT is my achilles heel (slightly more trades than may be optimal for top performance)

... although I'd like to think I have excellent patience over the past many years of trading.

my major "flaw" is doing one trade too many

example:

QCOM
 
Quote from iceman1:

and THAT is my achilles heel (slightly more trades than may be optimal for top performance)

... although I'd like to think I have excellent patience over the past many years of trading.

my major "flaw" is doing one trade too many

example:

QCOM

was long QCOM Nov 42.50c

sold at 3.10-3.30 (+120%)
then sold short Nov 45C at 1.4-1.55

so far so good - not a bad swing trade

BUT

for some reason YESTERDAY I sold the 45 straddle -- in other words-- legged into the 45p near lows (ratioed more calls than puts luckily) AND got hit today with the B.S. news - and a gap lower of >2

the ONE trade too many (and in hindsight we see a potential DT on QCOMs' chart) which reached it's m/Obj today
 
Quote from Multioption:

I don't rush to trade after taking a loss, no matter how small it is. Losses, to me, implies that something is wrong with my mental frame at the time the losing trade was called. So, I try to calm down while staying away from the market.

I admire your courage and disposition towards the market. You are a frequent trader but I am not!

I try to be as unemotional as possible. I stick with my trading plan except when something is really obvious. I frequently reassess (daily on daily charts, Sundays on weekly charts) and decide to do nothing, close early, fade out, pyramid or roll (I consider my options in this order). I bring closer my stop order when the trade goes for me; almost never I relax it.
 
Quote from iceman1:

> keep CVX on radar screen

was going to PM you (or post on this thread) for traders to enter CVX calls @ LOD

either Nov 55c

or

leg into:

+Dec60c
- Nov60c
(for -0-)


>>> will look to re-open (sell) Nov 60c IF or when CVX rallies above 57.50

Comments on CVX ?

CVX now 57+
 
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