Quote from ryanpatrick:
June options on SPX, looks like you've got a 1290-1310 target for SP500 by mid June? That sounds pretty bearish in that time frame. I'd at least see the SPX find some kind of support around 1350 first....there must be some bad econ news coming up within this time frame? I guess we'll see what happens on Friday first.
i finally caught the market short.
long SPY 142p - spread a little too soon (sold lower strikes 138 ) trying to 'neutralize' (free trade) and of course whenever I do that I am too early. Started legging out of 142 and creating bull spread with 138. Still holding some SPY 142p. May re-enter if I can "figure out" a further downside target. Closing of SPY/NDX gap was my target and everyone else apparently.
Also long SQQQ from 10.38 (approx) and + SQQQ May 11c @.50
and +Sept 14c @1.05 / now ratio 2/1 on SQQQ June 12 @.80
Also in NDX bear spread +275c/-270c and holding (converted/rolled) fly ie. +2750p/-2675p/+2650p (after closed -2700p - the original body of my fly - for +2.20 profit per - on last pop)
better to be lucky than smart.
i expected the earlier gap to resolve and now don't know which way we go. I look for a bounce later in day on Monday, and maybe a higher close, but not higher high. Of course I gave up predicting after being hammered one-time-too-many back in the 90s.
edit:
also in AMZN May2 back/ratio spread
-225 @395/+220 @190 (3/1 bearish)
and AMZN May Fly = 230p/225/220p
