My option trades

Quote from babutime:

For AAPL, simulate that calendar using a 12 point drop in MAY and see what happens- just for good measure.

Also- a 10% drop or rise isn't unlikely, the drop especially. AAPL has moved 10% on earnings before... I'm still gonna get into some biased flies...
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That's what I did, this is the graph come friday.
2w74dag.jpg


I am nervous about it moving more than 10% but I'm still in so we'll see what happens.
 
Quote from atticus:

586. We'll see how it looks in the morning.
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Yeah, should be interesting to see where the ATM May vol is tomorrow. Your fly/strangle should look nice if it hangs around the 590 level.
 
I had a biased put condor way below for a tiny $1.56 debit.

But i also had a straight call vertical... even with the IV drop, it'll net me handsomely tomorrow morning...

i can sleep LOL
 
Quote from Doobs789:

Yeah, should be interesting to see where the ATM May vol is tomorrow. Your fly/strangle should look nice if it hangs around the 590 level.
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I only sold that due to my upside fly. Now not looking so great. I'll be happy with any open <$600. A bit surprised with the reaction considering their fwd look and the miss on some hardware lines (top-line).
 
Quote from atticus:

I only sold that due to my upside fly. Now not looking so great. I'll be happy with any open <$600. A bit surprised with the reaction considering their fwd look at the miss on some hardware lines (top-line).
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Yeah, it needs to simmer down a bit now.
 
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