My option trades

Quote from probe1957:

Hold the bus now. I've got one lucky call working on VVUS as I type. Does that make me as elite a trader as FF?

And if the trade doesn't work, I will just say I had VVUS on my watch list that I never entered a trade.

As long as VVUS stays below $27 by April expiry, it is a trade. If not it is on my watch list. Or perhaps it will be a bull spread rather than a bear spread.
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forex forex gave himself a plus one on one of his market comments, now that's HUMONGO!!

(if only I could put this comment is colored ink, dag)

:p
 
Quote from falconview:

Jeff

Are you trading REAL CASH?

Impressive returns since Jan. 1st.
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Falcon,

If you can open the excel spreadsheet you will notice a heavy yellow line below the date 3/8/2012.
(Everything above the yellow line from September 8, 2011 to
March 8, 2012 (49 trades) were back-tested paper trades.)

Everything below that yellow line from signal date 3/14/2012
to present time (6 trades) has all been real cash trades.
So far since 3/14/2012 I have made $1,700 in 6 trades minus
-$44.64 total commissions on 31 contracts bought and 31 contracts sold.
($1,700 - $44.64 = $1,655.36 net in a couple of weeks.)


Your second question:
I use ITM front month options only until the Friday before expiration Friday (1 week before expiration) then I change to second month options.
If I don't follow that plan, my system doesn't work.


Jeff
 
babu

I was just looking at the EXCEL printout for the trades of JEFF. He has an attachment on it.

Really, what I wanted was a line graph, showing my equity, up and down business to repaste elsewhere, likke my BLOG. Didn´t know there was another way of doing a line graph, other than EXCEL? What was the other way again?

Jeff

Whenever I get a signal this week, think I´ll try just one contract in CASH of SPY and see how it works out? Besides my QQQ trade.
 
Quote from kinggyppo:

forex forex gave himself a plus one on one of his market comments, now that's HUMONGO!!

(if only I could put this comment is colored ink, dag)

:p
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FF is always giving himself +1. But in his defense, if he didn't do it, who would?

What a tool he is.
 
Quote from scottandmo:

Who wants to throw out ideas on earnings plays for KMX, MON, BBBY and possibly CONN as a short squeeze candidate next week?
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Placed an order for 5 KMX 35/34 apr 5 weekly put spreads that got filled at $.50 before close as well as 6 MON 85 Apr 21 calls at $.78. Looks like I missed the boat on CONN, up 7+% today. I'm too chicken to place a trade on BBBY although I agree with Atticus that they'll probably miss.
 
Quote from falconview:

babu

I was just looking at the EXCEL printout for the trades of JEFF. He has an attachment on it.

Really, what I wanted was a line graph, showing my equity, up and down business to repaste elsewhere, likke my BLOG. Didn´t know there was another way of doing a line graph, other than EXCEL? What was the other way again?

Jeff

Whenever I get a signal this week, think I´ll try just one contract in CASH of SPY and see how it works out? Besides my QQQ trade.
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There's numerous ways to do it but I'd stick to excel.
 
Quote from falconview:

31 contract Jeff. So you are trading 5 contracts at a time?
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Falcon,

My normal buy level is approximately $2,000 maximum divide 2.
In other words, $1,000 is devoted to Buy No.1 and something less
than $1,000 is devoted to Buy No. 2.
Today I bought 6 contracts because the account is growing and justified an additional contract ($1,200 per Buy No. 1).
So its more a dollar investment thing instead of a certain number of number of contracts. It just so happens entries around
$2.00 (+ or - .25) are the best profit producers in SPY options and therefore my favorites.
Example:
Buy No. 1: 5 contracts at 2.00 = $1,000
Buy No. 2: 5 contracts at 1.50 = $ 750
Total Debit: $1,750 "but" only if Buy No. 2 fills.

If Buy No. 2 doesn't fill, I "lose a lot of money" on the trade because there isn't that many signals in a month.
Also, in the event of a 2 Buy Loser and my next trade is a 1 Buy
Winner, it will take me almost 2 winning "single buy" trades to make up for a 2 Buy Loser.
Example:
Trade 1: Buy No. 1 at entry: 2.00 hits is sell limit of 2.60 and is a winner and I make $300 (5 X $60).
Trade 2: Buy 1 (entry=2.00) and Buy 2 (entry=1.50) is stopped out at -40% below Buy No. 1 =1.20
-.80 loss for Buy 1 and -.30 loss for Buy 2
Total: -1.10 loss per set times 5 = -550 loss for 10 contracts.
+$300 win for Trade 1 above (single buy trade) and
- $550 loss for trade 2 above (2 buy trade).
It takes almost 2 single buy winners to make up for 1 double buy loser.

What does all that mean?
At W/L: 60% you are breaking even.
At W/L: 70% you are just making a little money.
At W/L: 75% and greater you are fairly pleased with account gain.


Jeff
 
Yes! I´ve run those kind of scenarios myself. Trying to calculate the best way to bet.

Nowadays, if I lose one, I drop back to one contract. Otherwise this past week, I was 6 contracts and this week moving to 10 contracts. My 6 contracts last week, I staggered into it. 3 contracts each. But don´t think I will do that again. Start with everything, in this case, 10 contracts.

I´m going to try SPY this week with paper money if it gives me a chance. But will bet QQQ with cash.

The QQQ right now moves much less than the SPY but then I don´t lose as much either when wrong. I´ve been able to stay in my low range while I experimented a bit. However I´m pretty much out of the experiment now. and going for the money, as there are only 8 weeks before I would like to make my $10,000. $7452 right now.

I follow what you are doing though. Good luck!
 
New system trade:
SPY April 141 calls
Buy No. 1: 1.85 (I am filled on Buy No. 1)
Sell Limit: 2.40 (+30%) or if it tanks before hitting sell limit then
Buy No. 2: 1.40, then sell all at 2.00
Stop: 1.11
 
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