My option trades

falconview,
IYT is the ETF for the Dow Jones Transports.
I want IYT looking "weak" because I bought puts!
Its just about the only etf with a negative 10dma/20dma bearish crossover. Everything else is parabolic (straight up).
MT had a perfect pullback to the 30dma. Its rare to find anything pulled back to support in this market.

Look, I almost always just trade the SPY etf options, but it takes
volatility for my trading system to work. There hasn't been any volatility in all of 2012! So instead of sitting here doing nothing when the VIX tanks, I look to buy calls on strong stocks with pullbacks to some support point and I look to buy puts on overbought weak stocks (or etf's) that have a negative technical change (i.e...10dma/20dma bearish cross).

Jeff

SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN OKAY! I´M GOING TO HAVE TO LEARN MORE ABOUT OTHER INDEXES, WHICH I LIKE TO TRADE. THE ONES I HAVE TRADED ARE QQQ AND OEX. I´VE LOOKED AT SPY, BUT IT SEEMED SOMEWHAT ERRATIC AND WILD SO STAYED AWAY FROM IT. CAN´T SAY I KNOW ANY OTHERS YET. EXCEPT THE IYT YOU BROUGHT TO MY ATTENTION. I´M GOING TO START MAKING A LIST OF THEM.
 
I was wondering if a spread to start the HLF trade would have worked....turns out, the way HLF opened this morning the spread would have been a beauty by getting out of the short this morning at a profit while holding the long as I anticipate HLF gaining 7-10% anyways and that's because I expect the market to be weak today. If the market turns around and push higher, HLF could see +11%.
 
HLF Did that just have an Earnings Report yesterday?

I´m looking at CHK and NFX to see how they do POST earnings for a week. On paper at least.
 
Thankyou! I guess that is the same Earnings Report I have been using. I just use GOOGLE and write US Earnings reports and it comes up. Good to know we are on the same page though.

Us amateurs need all the help we can get. ( grin :cool: )

I´m paper trading NFX and HLF now for one contract. to see what they do for direction in one week.

CIGX I have a real money trade to see what it does BEFORE the Earnings report in March. Probably a mistake to do it that way?

In the meantime, I patiently wait for QQQ to do something other than follow the trend line. With a big for me, 10 contracts on it, to go up.
 
I sold the MT calls at a loss today but still holding the IYT puts.
Fortunately the IYT puts are more than making up for the MT loss.
(That was my version of a pairs trade.)
The attached chart of the SPX shows, if today closes below yesterdays low, its possible we could drop to the 1340.
 

Attachments

Believe me, I´m sitting on tenter hooks, waiting to see what is going to happen to my 10 contracts, that are bottoming hopefully soon. Or big loss too.
 
Jeff

What made you pick 91.50 as your target? You are almost there, and it could apparently go either way? Much more down in a breakout down possible, or just peak as a bottom?
 
Quote from falconview:

Jeff

What made you pick 91.50 as your target? You are almost there, and it could apparently go either way? Much more down in a breakout down possible, or just peak as a bottom?
More...

It was the last area of resistance in early January 2012 before IYT
broke higher into its recent range. You know the old saying when a stock breaks higher to a new range,
"what was resistance is now support."
What's currently hurting the transports is oil prices are rising again and transportation depends on oil and gas.
 
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