Quote from ryanpatrick:
Just getting back to you now, but technicals point higher, I'm looking at $92-$95 at most and probably won't go much higher than $95. Also, VMW for me is considered a cloud play, same as FFIV NTAP RAX and CRM. When one of these early players post solid results, I usually expect the rest to follow....They all play in different parts of the cloud, but I've grouped them into one for the past 2 years and it has worked. I already had a good trade from FFIV last week, which gave me even more confidence on VMW. On the chart, VMW just recently tested support at $77, I'd expect at least a run up to resistance around $95 if not $105 before falling back down if there are no new institutional buyers.
I believe I did post 87.5/95 call. My risk was $270 per contract, with max return at $750. Net profit is estimated to be about $480. Initial risk ratio is 1.77 not too bad. I plan on legging out of position tomorrow. Maybe I'll hold onto the long 87.5 calls for a longer period, but not sure how much longer because this market has done nothing but gone up for the past 2 weeks. Has anyone noticed a -100 drop for the dow jones at all? Just wicked here. I should have also bought the second trade that I reviewed....was WDC calls....just didn't want to risk too much early here.
I'll probably go with spreads/strangle (I believe that's what the strategy is called when taking on both direction with out of money options) on NFLX tomorrow. I think NFLX will move +15% but I don't care about direction, just want to see the move.